globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1007/s10530-019-02024-7
WOS记录号: WOS:000478767600013
论文题名:
Can Acacia mangium and Acacia auriculiformis hinder restoration efforts in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest under current and future climate conditions?
作者: Heringer, Gustavo1,2,3; Bueno, Marcelo L.4; Meira-Neto, Joao A. A.1,2; Matos, Fabio A. R.1,5,6; Neri, Andreza V.1,2
通讯作者: Heringer, Gustavo ; Neri, Andreza V.
刊名: BIOLOGICAL INVASIONS
ISSN: 1387-3547
EISSN: 1573-1464
出版年: 2019
卷: 21, 期:9, 页码:2949-2962
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Acacia mangium ; Acacia auriculiformis ; Species distribution models ; Climate change ; Invasion risk
WOS关键词: ECOLOGICAL RESTORATION ; GLOBAL BIODIVERSITY ; AUSTRALIAN ACACIAS ; TROPICAL FOREST ; INVASION ; TREES ; RISK ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; CHALLENGES ; THREATENS
WOS学科分类: Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology
WOS研究方向: Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Climate change and biological invasions are two of the most cited factors that may affect species diversity in the coming decades. Here we used five climate scenarios to investigate the potential distribution of two invasive tree species, Acacia mangium and A. auriculiformis, in the Atlantic Forest hotspot. Additionally, we used expansion-contraction maps and maps of potential areas for forest restoration to investigate whether biological invasion could affect restoration efforts. We found A. mangium has a large suitable area in all scenarios (average 268,010.1 km(2) +/- 25,292.4 SD), while A auriculiformis is confined to a relatively small region (average 13,123.1 km(2) +/- 361.7 SD). In the low greenhouse gas emissions scenario (RCP 2.6), the suitable area for A. mangium varied from the current scenario of 24.8% of the Atlantic Forest to 26.2% and 25.4% in the years 2050 and 2070, respectively. In the high greenhouse gas emission scenario (RCP 8.5), the suitable area contracted to 23.1% and 20.5% in 2050 and 2070, respectively. Approximately 30.8% of the potential area for restoration currently overlaps the suitable area for A. mangium, and this overlap reaches at least 23.8% of the potential areas for restoration in the future scenarios (RCP 8.5 in 2070). A. mangium has a large suitable area in the Atlantic Forest and can become a barrier to restoration efforts in the coming decades. Expansion-contraction maps should be used to establish environmental policies that promote both forest restoration and prevention of biological invasion in suitable areas.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/145976
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Univ Fed Vicosa, Dept Biol Vegetal, Lab Ecol & Evolucao Plantas, BR-36570900 Vicosa, MG, Brazil
2.Univ Fed Vicosa, Programa Posgrad Bot, BR-36570900 Vicosa, MG, Brazil
3.Univ Munster, Inst Landscape Ecol, Heisenbergstr 2, D-48149 Munster, Germany
4.Univ Estadual Mato Grasso Sul, Lab Bot, BR-79980000 Mundo Novo, MS, Brazil
5.Fac Zacaria Goes, Dept Biol Geral, BR-45400000 Valenca, BA, Brazil
6.Univ Fed Espirito Santo, CEUNES DCAB, BR 101 Norte,Km 60, BR-29932900 Sao Mateus, ES, Brazil

Recommended Citation:
Heringer, Gustavo,Bueno, Marcelo L.,Meira-Neto, Joao A. A.,et al. Can Acacia mangium and Acacia auriculiformis hinder restoration efforts in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest under current and future climate conditions?[J]. BIOLOGICAL INVASIONS,2019-01-01,21(9):2949-2962
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