globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2019.05.037
WOS记录号: WOS:000470966000064
论文题名:
Impacts of idealized land cover changes on climate extremes in Europe
作者: Hu, Xiangping; Huang, Bo; Cherubini, Francesco
通讯作者: Huang, Bo
刊名: ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS
ISSN: 1470-160X
EISSN: 1872-7034
出版年: 2019
卷: 104, 页码:626-635
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate extremes ; Land cover change ; Deforestation ; Afforestation ; Maximum temperature and precipitation ; Regional climate model
WOS关键词: DAILY TEMPERATURE ; SCALE ; PRECIPITATION ; ATTRIBUTION ; WEATHER ; INDEXES ; MODELS ; SCHEME ; AFFORESTATION ; DEFORESTATION
WOS学科分类: Biodiversity Conservation ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Extremes in climate and weather can pose significant challenges to economy, ecosystems and human health. Changes in land cover are one of the drivers for variability in frequency and magnitude of extreme climate at regional and local levels. In this study, a regional climate model (COSMO-CLM v4.8) is used to simulate effects in climate extremes from two different idealized land cover change scenarios in Europe. These two simulations involve abrupt large-scale conversion of today forestland to herbaceous vegetation (deforestation), and of today cropland to evergreen needle-leave forest (afforestation). A control simulation with today land cover distribution is used to identify differences in extreme climate. We find significant changes in extreme climate in both deforestation and afforestation simulations, with seasonal and spatial differences. Deforestation causes a warmer summer (with higher annual maximum temperature) and a colder winter (with lower annual minimum temperature). Afforestation slightly increases the average intensity of the hot extremes, although with high spatial variability (a reduction is common in several locations), and mitigates cold extremes in winter. Changes in extreme indices show that deforestation increases both the frequency and duration of hot and cold extremes, while afforestation causes a lower frequency of extreme cold climate. The two simulations show opposing results in the number of frozen days, as they increase for deforestation and decrease for afforestation. A drier climate is found after deforestation, whereas a wetter climate is observed after afforestation. In general, deforestation and afforestation increase the frequency of hot extreme climate as they reduce the return period and increase the return level. Overall, our findings show the potential critical effects that land cover changes can have on climate extremes, and the possible synergies that land management strategies and planning can have for climate change mitigation and adaptation at a regional scale.


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被引频次[WOS]:19   [查看WOS记录]     [查看WOS中相关记录]
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/146104
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作者单位: Norwegian Univ Sci & Technol NTNU, Dept Energy & Proc Engn, Ind Ecol Programme, Trondheim, Norway

Recommended Citation:
Hu, Xiangping,Huang, Bo,Cherubini, Francesco. Impacts of idealized land cover changes on climate extremes in Europe[J]. ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS,2019-01-01,104:626-635
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