globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-18-0331.1
WOS记录号: WOS:000486477600001
论文题名:
Artificial Detection of Lower-Frequency Periodicity in Climatic Studies by Wavelet Analysis Demonstrated on Synthetic Time Series
作者: Hochman, Assaf1; Saaroni, Hadas2; Abramovich, Felix3; Alpert, Pinhas4
通讯作者: Hochman, Assaf
刊名: JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN: 1558-8424
EISSN: 1558-8432
出版年: 2019
卷: 58, 期:9, 页码:2077-2086
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Climate variability ; Paleoclimate ; Fourier analysis ; Spectral analysis ; models ; distribution ; Time series
WOS关键词: AD ; PACIFIC
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

The continuous wavelet transform (CWT) is a frequently used tool to study periodicity in climate and other time series. Periodicity plays a significant role in climate reconstruction and prediction. In numerous studies, the use of CWT revealed dominant periodicity (DP) in climatic time series. Several studies suggested that these "natural oscillations" would even reverse global warming. It is shown here that the results of wavelet analysis for detecting DPs can be misinterpreted in the presence of local singularities that are manifested in lower frequencies. This may lead to false DP detection. CWT analysis of synthetic and real-data climatic time series, with local singularities, indicates a low-frequency DP even if there is no true periodicity in the time series. Therefore, it is argued that this is an inherent general property of CWT. Hence, applying CWT to climatic time series should be reevaluated, and more careful analysis of the entire wavelet power spectrum is required, with a focus on high frequencies as well. A conelike shape in the wavelet power spectrum most likely indicates the presence of a local singularity in the time series rather than a DP, even if the local singularity has an observational or a physical basis. It is shown that analyzing the derivatives of the time series may be helpful in interpreting the wavelet power spectrum. Nevertheless, these tests are only a partial remedy that does not completely neutralize the effects caused by the presence of local singularities.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/146158
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Karlsruhe Inst Technol, Inst Meteorol & Climate Res, Eggenstein Leopoldshafen, Germany
2.Tel Aviv Univ, Porter Sch Environm & Earth Sci, Dept Geog & Human Environm, Tel Aviv, Israel
3.Tel Aviv Univ, Sch Math Sci, Dept Stat & Operat Res, Tel Aviv, Israel
4.Tel Aviv Univ, Porter Sch Environm & Earth Sci, Dept Geophys, Tel Aviv, Israel

Recommended Citation:
Hochman, Assaf,Saaroni, Hadas,Abramovich, Felix,et al. Artificial Detection of Lower-Frequency Periodicity in Climatic Studies by Wavelet Analysis Demonstrated on Synthetic Time Series[J]. JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY,2019-01-01,58(9):2077-2086
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