globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0553-2
WOS记录号: WOS:000483551700024
论文题名:
Emergence of anthropogenic signals in the ocean carbon cycle
作者: Schlunegger, Sarah1; Rodgers, Keith B.2,3; Sarmiento, Jorge L.1; Froelicher, Thomas L.4,5; Dunne, John P.6; Ishii, Masao7; Slater, Richard1
通讯作者: Schlunegger, Sarah
刊名: NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
ISSN: 1758-678X
EISSN: 1758-6798
出版年: 2019
卷: 9, 期:9, 页码:719-+
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: 21ST-CENTURY PROJECTIONS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TRENDS ; CIRCULATION ; DRIVERS ; UNCERTAINTIES ; VARIABILITY ; FORMULATION ; PACIFIC ; PCO(2)
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

The attribution of anthropogenically forced trends in the climate system requires an understanding of when and how such signals emerge from natural variability. We applied time-of-emergence diagnostics to a large ensemble of an Earth system model, which provides both a conceptual framework for interpreting the detectability of anthropogenic impacts in the ocean carbon cycle and observational sampling strategies required to achieve detection. We found emergence timescales that ranged from less than a decade to more than a century, a consequence of the time lag between the chemical and radiative impacts of rising atmospheric CO2 on the ocean. Processes sensitive to carbonate chemical changes emerge rapidly, such as the impacts of acidification on the calcium carbonate pump (10 years for the globally integrated signal and 9-18 years for regionally integrated signals) and the invasion flux of anthropogenic CO2 into the ocean (14 years globally and 13-26 years regionally). Processes sensitive to the ocean's physical state, such as the soft-tissue pump, which depends on nutrients supplied through circulation, emerge decades later (23 years globally and 27-85 years regionally).


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/146297
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作者单位: 1.Princeton Univ, Program Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
2.Ctr Climate Phys, Inst Basic Sci, Busan, South Korea
3.Pusan Natl Univ, Busan, South Korea
4.Univ Bern, Phys Inst, Climate & Environm Phys, Bern, Switzerland
5.Univ Bern, Oeschger Ctr Climate Change Res, Bern, Switzerland
6.NOAA Geophys Fluid Dynam Lab, Princeton, NJ USA
7.Japan Meteorol Agcy, Meteorol Res Inst, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan

Recommended Citation:
Schlunegger, Sarah,Rodgers, Keith B.,Sarmiento, Jorge L.,et al. Emergence of anthropogenic signals in the ocean carbon cycle[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2019-01-01,9(9):719-+
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