globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1139/cjfas-2018-0255
WOS记录号: WOS:000482618200006
论文题名:
Decadal changes in the productivity of New England fish populations
作者: Tableau, Adrien1; Collie, Jeremy S.1; Bell, Richard J.2; Minto, Coilin3
通讯作者: Tableau, Adrien
刊名: CANADIAN JOURNAL OF FISHERIES AND AQUATIC SCIENCES
ISSN: 0706-652X
EISSN: 1205-7533
出版年: 2019
卷: 76, 期:9, 页码:1528-1540
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: COD GADUS-MORHUA ; ATLANTIC COD ; HISTORICAL TRENDS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; RECRUITMENT ; DYNAMICS ; MODEL ; TEMPERATURE ; SEASONALITY ; ABUNDANCE
WOS学科分类: Fisheries ; Marine & Freshwater Biology
WOS研究方向: Fisheries ; Marine & Freshwater Biology
英文摘要:

The Northwest Atlantic continental shelf is a large ecosystem undergoing rapid environmental changes, which are expected to modify the productivity of natural marine resources. Current management of most fished species assumes stationary production relationships or time-invariant recruitment rates. With linear state-space models, we examined the evidence of dynamic productivity for 25 stocks of the Northeast US shelf. We expanded the suite of options available within the state-space approach to produce robust estimates. Fifteen of the stocks exhibited time-varying productivity or changes in their maximum reproductive rate. Few productivity time series are related across the whole region, though adjacent stocks of the same species exhibited similar trends. Some links to region-wide environmental variables were observed. We demonstrate that fish recruitment can often be better predicted over a short-term horizon by accounting for dynamic productivity, which could be valuable for fisheries management. Improving predictions by incorporating environmental covariates or covariance among the stocks must be considered case by case and with caution, as their relationships may change over time.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/146327
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Univ Rhode Isl, Grad Sch Oceanog, South Ferry Rd, Narragansett, RI 02882 USA
2.Nature Conservancy, South Ferry Rd, Narragansett, RI USA
3.GMIT, MFRC, Dublin Rd, Galway, Ireland

Recommended Citation:
Tableau, Adrien,Collie, Jeremy S.,Bell, Richard J.,et al. Decadal changes in the productivity of New England fish populations[J]. CANADIAN JOURNAL OF FISHERIES AND AQUATIC SCIENCES,2019-01-01,76(9):1528-1540
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