globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1016/j.fishres.2019.03.007
WOS记录号: WOS:000473841400016
论文题名:
Management implications of modelling fisheries recruitment
作者: Plaganyi, Eva E.1; Haywood, Michael D. E.1; Gorton, Rebecca J.2; Siple, Margaret C.3; Deng, Roy Aijun1
通讯作者: Plaganyi, Eva E.
刊名: FISHERIES RESEARCH
ISSN: 0165-7836
EISSN: 1872-6763
出版年: 2019
卷: 217, 页码:169-184
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Stock-recruit ; Harvest control rules ; Environmental relationships ; Steepness
WOS关键词: PANULIRUS-ORNATUS FABRICIUS ; HARVEST CONTROL RULE ; ROCK LOBSTER ; TORRES-STRAIT ; POPULATION-DYNAMICS ; STOCK ASSESSMENT ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; ENVIRONMENTAL INDEXES ; STRUCTURED ASSESSMENT ; STRATEGY EVALUATION
WOS学科分类: Fisheries
WOS研究方向: Fisheries
英文摘要:

The representation and parameterisation of the stock-recruitment relationship is highly influential in fisheries stock assessments. We overview important management implications arising from choices and assumptions made when modelling recruitment and propose pragmatic solutions. An age-structured population model is used to highlight some additional considerations including (1) incorrect assumptions about the source of recruits and (2) ways to account for environmental correlates in stock assessment models, either directly or indirectly. Existing stationary approaches ignore the sometimes considerable influence of the environment on population processes such as recruitment, growth and mortality, all of which are expected to shift under changing climate. We show that where environmental relationships are explicitly included in models, they need to be rigorously assessed and model parameterization carefully evaluated. Variability in annual recruitment estimates (specified by the standard deviation sigma(R)) must be adjusted to control the partitioning of total variation into environmental and unexplained variation, as reference point estimates are particularly sensitive to the choice of sigma(R). Finally, we evaluate two recommended solutions to these issues: Harvest Control Rules (HCRs) that are robust to recruitment uncertainty and variability, and empirical HCRs that use pre-season survey inputs as a way to more directly provide forecasts without needing to quantify the complex underlying details of the environmental-recruitment relationships.


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被引频次[WOS]:19   [查看WOS记录]     [查看WOS中相关记录]
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/146518
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Commonwealth Sci & Ind Res Org CSIRO Oceans & Atm, QBP, Brisbane, Qld 4072, Australia
2.CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere, Hobart, Tas 7000, Australia
3.Univ Washington, Sch Aquat & Fishery Sci, Seattle, WA 98195 USA

Recommended Citation:
Plaganyi, Eva E.,Haywood, Michael D. E.,Gorton, Rebecca J.,et al. Management implications of modelling fisheries recruitment[J]. FISHERIES RESEARCH,2019-01-01,217:169-184
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