globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2019.108546
WOS记录号: WOS:000483410200050
论文题名:
The impact of heat waves on mortality in Northwest India
作者: Nori-Sarma, Amruta1; Anderson, G. Brooke2; Rajiva, Ajit1; ShahAzhar, Gulrez3; Gupta, Prakash4; Pednekar, Mangesh S.4; Son, Ji-Young1; Peng, Roger D.5; Bell, Michelle L.1
通讯作者: Nori-Sarma, Amruta
刊名: ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH
ISSN: 0013-9351
EISSN: 1096-0953
出版年: 2019
卷: 176
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Effect modification ; Extreme temperature ; Heat wave ; Mortality
WOS关键词: FRENCH CITIES ; AIR-POLLUTION ; TEMPERATURE ; OZONE ; EXPOSURE ; COLD
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
英文摘要:

Heat waves are anticipated to worsen with climate change. India, an understudied area with > 15% of the world's population, commonly experiences temperature extremes and already resembles potential future climates of more temperate regions. Registry data from local municipal corporations and government offices were collected and translated, yielding daily all-cause mortality for 4 communities in Northwest India for all or part of the period 2000-2012. Heat waves were defined as >= 2 days with local temperature >= 97th percentile for that community. An alternate definition matching that used by the Indian Meteorological Department was also developed, to enhance policy relevance. Community-specific average daily maximum temperature over the entire record ranged from 32.5 to 34.2 degrees C (90.5-93.6 degrees F). Across communities, total mortality increased 18.1% during heat wave days compared with non-heat-wave days [95% confidence interval (CI): 5.3%, 47.3%], with the highest risk in Jaipur (29.9% [95% CI: 24.6%, 34.9%]). Evidence of effect modification by heat wave characteristics (intensity, duration, and timing in season) was limited. Findings indicate health risks associated with heat waves in communities with high baseline temperatures. Results can inform heat wave-health assessments in temperate regions in future, and improve our understanding of temperature-health associations under climate change. Further investigation of potential effect modification by heat wave characteristics is needed.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/146549
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Yale Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT USA
2.Colorado State Univ, Dept Environm & Radiol Hlth Sci, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA
3.Pardee RAND Grad Sch, Santa Monica, CA USA
4.Healis Selchsaria Inst Publ Hlth, Navi Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
5.Johns Hopkins Bloomberg Sch Publ Hlth, Baltimore, MD USA

Recommended Citation:
Nori-Sarma, Amruta,Anderson, G. Brooke,Rajiva, Ajit,et al. The impact of heat waves on mortality in Northwest India[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH,2019-01-01,176
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