globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1111/gcbb.12614
WOS记录号: WOS:000480559400003
论文题名:
Global advanced bioenergy potential under environmental protection policies and societal transformation measures
作者: Wu, Wenchao1; Hasegawa, Tomoko1; Ohashi, Haruka2; Hanasaki, Naota3; Liu, Jingyu1; Matsui, Tetsuya2; Fujimori, Shinichiro4; Masui, Toshihiko1; Takahashi, Kiyoshi1
通讯作者: Wu, Wenchao
刊名: GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY BIOENERGY
ISSN: 1757-1693
EISSN: 1757-1707
出版年: 2019
卷: 11, 期:9, 页码:1041-1055
语种: 英语
英文关键词: biodiversity protection ; bioenergy potential ; demand- and supply-side policy ; integrated assessment ; societal transformation ; soil protection
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; LAND-USE ; INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT ; MARGINAL SOILS ; BIO-ENERGY ; MODEL ; BIOMASS ; AGRICULTURE ; MITIGATION ; SCENARIOS
WOS学科分类: Agronomy ; Biotechnology & Applied Microbiology ; Energy & Fuels
WOS研究方向: Agriculture ; Biotechnology & Applied Microbiology ; Energy & Fuels
英文摘要:

Bioenergy plays an important role in low greenhouse gas stabilization scenarios. Among various possible sources of bioenergy, dedicated bio-crops could contribute to most of the potential. However, large scale bio-crop deployment raises sustainability concerns. Policies to alleviate the pressure of bio-crops on the terrestrial environment can affect bioenergy potential and production costs. Here, we estimated the maximum bioenergy potential under environmental protection policies (biodiversity and soil protection) and societal transformation measures from demand and supply side (demand-side policy includes sustainable diet; supply-side policy includes advanced technology and trade openness for food) by using an integrated assessment modelling framework, which consists of a general equilibrium model (Asian-Pacific Integrated Model/Computable General Equilibrium) and a spatial land use allocation model (Asian-Pacific Integrated Model/Platform for Land-Use and Environmental Model). We found that the global advanced bioenergy potential under no policy was 245 EJ/year and that 192 EJ/year could be produced under US$5/GJ. These figures were 149 EJ/year and 110 EJ/year, respectively, under a full environmental policy. Biodiversity protection has a greater impact than soil protection due to its larger coverage and stronger implementation. Societal transformation measures effectively increase them to 186 EJ/year and 143 EJ/year, respectively, even under full environmental policies. These results imply that the large-scale bioenergy deployment possibly needed for the climate target to limit the global mean temperature increase well below 2 degrees C compared to the preindustrial level might face a trade-off with environmental protection targets and that possible mitigation pathways in harmony with other environmental issues need to be explored.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/146658
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Natl Inst Environm Studies, Ctr Social & Environm Syst Res, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058506, Japan
2.Forest Res & Management Org, Ctr Int Partnerships & Res Climate Change, Forestry & Forest Prod Res Inst, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
3.Natl Inst Environm Studies, Ctr Global Environm Res, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
4.Kyoto Univ, Grad Sch Engn, Dept Environm Engn, Kyoto, Japan

Recommended Citation:
Wu, Wenchao,Hasegawa, Tomoko,Ohashi, Haruka,et al. Global advanced bioenergy potential under environmental protection policies and societal transformation measures[J]. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY BIOENERGY,2019-01-01,11(9):1041-1055
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