globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1177/0959683619854512
WOS记录号: WOS:000484498100003
论文题名:
Mid-Holocene drylands: A multi-model analysis using Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project Phase III (PMIP3) simulations
作者: Liu, Shanshan1,2; Jiang, Dabang1,2,3,4; Lang, Xianmei1,3,4
通讯作者: Jiang, Dabang
刊名: HOLOCENE
ISSN: 0959-6836
EISSN: 1477-0911
出版年: 2019
卷: 29, 期:9, 页码:1425-1438
语种: 英语
英文关键词: dryland ; global ; mid-Holocene ; model-data comparison ; paleoclimate modeling
WOS关键词: AUSTRALIAN SUMMER MONSOON ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; AFRICAN MONSOON ; EL-NINO ; SOUTHERN WESTERLIES ; NORTHERN AFRICA ; THAR DESERT ; HOLOCENE ; VEGETATION ; LAKE
WOS学科分类: Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Physical Geography ; Geology
英文摘要:

This study examines changes in aridity levels during the mid-Holocene (approximately 6000 cal. yr ago) using multi-model simulations from the Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project Phase III. Overall, there is little difference in the total area of drylands from the preindustrial period; global drylands are 8% wetter than during the preindustrial period as measured by an aridity index; and 16% of preindustrial drylands convert to a wetter climate subtype, double the sum of zones that are replaced by a drier category. Considerable variations are present among regions with major contractions of each dryland subtype from northern Africa to South Asia and the main expansions of arid, semiarid, and dry subhumid climates in southern hemisphere continents. The difference in precipitation is the leading factor of the aforementioned changes. The second factor is the altered potential evapotranspiration as mainly induced by relative humidity, which contributes to additional aridity changes in a same direction as precipitation does. The collective effects of precipitation and relative humidity account for more than 80% of the dryland variations. In comparison, the simulated aridity change is in reasonable agreement with reconstructions, while there are model-data discrepancies for Australia and uncertainties across proxies for southern Africa.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/146670
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作者单位: 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Forecast & Evaluat Meteoro, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
4.CAS Ctr Excellence Tibetan Plateau Earth Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Liu, Shanshan,Jiang, Dabang,Lang, Xianmei. Mid-Holocene drylands: A multi-model analysis using Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project Phase III (PMIP3) simulations[J]. HOLOCENE,2019-01-01,29(9):1425-1438
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