globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0081.1
WOS记录号: WOS:000482950800003
论文题名:
Changes in Temperature Seasonality in China: Human Influences and Internal Variability
作者: Qian, Cheng1,2; Zhang, Xuebin3
通讯作者: Qian, Cheng
刊名: JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
ISSN: 0894-8755
EISSN: 1520-0442
出版年: 2019
卷: 32, 期:19, 页码:6237-6249
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Anthropogenic effects ; Climate change ; Climate variability ; Surface temperature ; Seasonal cycle
WOS关键词: ANNUAL CYCLE ; PART I ; TRENDS ; PRECIPITATION ; MODEL
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Temperature seasonality, the difference between summer and winter temperatures in mid-high latitudes, is an important component of the climate. Whether humans have had detectable influences on changing surface temperature seasonality at scales smaller than the subcontinental scale, where humans are directly impacted, is not clear. In this study, the first detection and attribution analysis of changes in temperature seasonality in China has been carried out. Detection and attribution of both summer and winter temperatures were also conducted, with careful consideration of observational uncertainty and the inconsistency between observation and model simulations induced by the long coastline and country border in China. The results show that the response to external forcings is robustly detectable in the spatiotemporal pattern of weakening seasonality and in that of warming winter temperature, although models may have underestimated the observed changes. The response to external forcings is detectable and consistent with the observed change in summer temperature averaged over China. Human influences are detectable in changes in seasonality and summer and winter temperatures, most robustly in winter, and these influences can be separated from those of natural forcing when averaged over China. The recent increase in summer temperature was found to be due to external forcings, and the warming hiatus in winter temperature from 1998 to 2013 was due to a statistically significant cooling trend induced by internal variability. These results will give insights into the understanding of the warming hiatus in China, as well as the hot summers and cold winters in recent years.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/147080
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, Key Lab Reg Climate Environm Temperate East Asia, Beijing, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.Environm & Climate Change Canada, Div Climate Res, Toronto, ON, Canada

Recommended Citation:
Qian, Cheng,Zhang, Xuebin. Changes in Temperature Seasonality in China: Human Influences and Internal Variability[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2019-01-01,32(19):6237-6249
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