globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5061454
论文题名:
近30年西藏雪深时空变化及其对气候变化的响应
其他题名: Spatial-temporal variation of snow depth in Tibet and its response to climatic change in the past 30 years
作者: 白淑英1; 史建桥1; 沈渭寿2; 高吉喜2; 王冠军3
刊名: 国土资源遥感
ISSN: 1001-070X
出版年: 2014
卷: 26, 期:1, 页码:102-108
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 西藏 ; 雪深 ; 时空变化 ; 气候响应
英文关键词: Tibet ; snow depth ; spatial-temporal variations ; climate response
WOS学科分类: REMOTE SENSING
WOS研究方向: Remote Sensing
中文摘要: 积雪深度是表征积雪特征的重要参数,也是气候变化区域响应敏感因素。利用1979-2010年逐日雪深被动微波遥感数据以及同期气象资料,对西藏雪深时空变化特征及其与气候因子的响应关系进行了分析。结果表明: 32 a来,西藏雪深呈显著增加趋势,气候倾向率为0.26 cm/10 a; 1999年以后,雪深则表现为下降趋势,气候倾向率为-0.35 cm/10 a。四季平均雪深中,春季雪深的变化对年平均贡献最大,二者相关系数高达0.88。高原雪深异常偏多年份主要在20世纪90年代,但并未发生气候突变。周期分析表明,西藏雪深存在准6~7 a振荡的显著周期。西藏雪深呈四周山地雪深大,中部腹地雪深小的空间格局,且受海拔影响有明显的陡坎效应,绝大部分地区雪深变化趋势倾向率在-0.08~0.08 cm/a,百分比达到74.6%; 逐像元回归分析表明,雪深呈增加趋势的像元数占全区像元总数的76.9%,有减少趋势的仅占23.1%。西藏雪深与气温、降水、风速和日照时数存在明显的统计和空间相关性,整体表现为雪深与气温、风速、日照时数呈负相关,而与降水呈正相关。多元回归分析表明,春秋季雪深模拟值与实测值的相关系数均达0.6以上,通过了0.01的显著性检验; 夏冬季雪深回归模型的复相关系数只有0.4~0.5,且未通过0.05显著性检验。
英文摘要: Snow depth is an important parameter to characterize snow features, and is also one of the sensitive factors of regional response to climate change. Based on snow depth daily data and monthly temperature, precipitation, wind and sunshine hours data from meteorological stations during 1979 to 2010, the authors analyzed the spatial and temporal variation of snow depth in Tibetan Plateau and its response to climatic change by using methods of anomaly analysis, mutation analysis, spatial analysis and power spectral analysis. The results showed that, in the period from 1979 to 2010, the snow depth increased obviously and significantly with linear trend rate 0.26 cm/10a, but there was a pronounced decrease phase from 1999 to 2010, thus forming the situation that the snow depth increased first and then decreased in general in Tibetan Plateau. In the four seasons, winter mean snow depth contributed most significantly to the annual situation, with the correlation coefficient between them up to 0.88. The snow depth was extremely excessive in the 1990s but with no climate mutation. An analysis of power spectrum showed that the snow depth had quasi-periodic oscillation of 6-7 years. The results indicated that there were significant spatial differences in the snow depth of Tibetan Plateau. In the peripheral high mountains, snow depth was distributed extensively and had a long duration, but in the vast interior it was rare or even thin. The snow depth was significantly affected by the altitude with a steep step effect.And most of linear trend rates of snow depth in Tibetan Plateau were between -0.08 and 0.08 cm/a, with the percentage reaching 74.6%. The results of regression analysis indicated that the increased area of snow depth accounted for 76.9%, while the decreased area accounted for 23.1%. There was obvious statistical and spatial correlation between snow depth and temperature, precipitation, wind speed and sunshine duration in general; there was negative correlation between snow depth and temperature, wind speed and sunshine duration, but positive correlation between snow depth and precipitation. The results of multiple regression analysis showed that, in spring and autumn, the correlation coefficients between simulated snow depth and observation data were both above 0.6 and passed 0.01 significance test, while they were only between 0.4 and 0.5 in summer and winter and didn't pass the 0.05 significance test.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/147861
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.南京信息工程大学遥感学院, 南京, 江苏 210044, 中国
2.环境保护部南京环境科学研究所, 南京, 江苏 210042, 中国
3.94783部队61分队, 长兴, 313111

Recommended Citation:
白淑英,史建桥,沈渭寿,等. 近30年西藏雪深时空变化及其对气候变化的响应[J]. 国土资源遥感,2014-01-01,26(1):102-108
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