globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5218249
论文题名:
云南干旱常态化的分析
其他题名: Analysis of Drought Normalization in Yunnan Province
作者: 付奔1; 胡关东1; 杨帆1; 王龙2
刊名: 水文
ISSN: 1000-0852
出版年: 2014
卷: 34, 期:4, 页码:1156-1166
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 云南干旱 ; 常态化 ; 历史干旱分析 ; 水文气象要素
英文关键词: Yunnan drought ; normalization ; historical drought analysis ; hydrological and meteorological factors
WOS学科分类: ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
中文摘要: 近年来云南持续发生严重干旱,云南干旱是否日趋常态化成为社会各界关心的一个热点问题,相关报道不断见诸媒体。本文从水文的角度对云南省的历史干旱、水文要素以及趋势预测等方面进行了深入的分析。在历史依据和现代气象水文观测数据的支撑下,考察近100年来全球增暖可能导致部分地区干旱化的可能,从而认为近年来提出的云南干旱常态化存在科学依据;但干旱常态化仅能局限于近现代时期这一时间范畴,对于今后更长时期云南省干旱发展趋势,依据现有技术手段及研究成果尚难以判断把握。
英文摘要: Severe droughts have frequently occurred in Yunnan Province in recent years, and it has become a focus of public concern whether the droughts have got in normalization. In this paper, we analyzed the droughts in the aspects of hydrology, drought history, hydrologic factors, and drought prediction. Supported by historical meteorological and hydrological records, we investigated the possibility whether global warming has increased drought frequency in some regions in the last one hundred years. The results provide strong evidence that droughts in Yunnan Province have become normalization. However, the normalization of droughts only occurred in the recent decade. As for the drought trend in Yunnan in the future, it is still difficult to predict by relying on current technology and research findings.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/148452
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.云南省水文水资源局, 昆明, 云南 650106, 中国
2.云南农业大学水利水电与建筑学院, 昆明, 云南 650201, 中国

Recommended Citation:
付奔,胡关东,杨帆,等. 云南干旱常态化的分析[J]. 水文,2014-01-01,34(4):1156-1166
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[付奔]'s Articles
[胡关东]'s Articles
[杨帆]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[付奔]'s Articles
[胡关东]'s Articles
[杨帆]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[付奔]‘s Articles
[胡关东]‘s Articles
[杨帆]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.