globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5165517
论文题名:
气候变化对新疆红枣种植气候区划的影响
其他题名: Impact of climate change on the division of jujube planting zones in Xinjiang
作者: 张山清1; 普宗朝2; 李景林1; 李新建1; 吉春容3; 傅玮东1; 王命全1; 李晓菊4; 郑新倩1
刊名: 中国生态农业学报
ISSN: 1671-3990
出版年: 2014
卷: 22, 期:6, 页码:126-132
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 气候变化 ; 红枣 ; 种植区 ; 气候区划 ; 新疆
英文关键词: Climate change ; Jujube ; Planting area ; Climatic zoning ; Xinjiang
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 研究气候变化背景下新疆红枣气候区划的变化, 对适应气候变化, 充分合理地利用农业气候资源, 科学制定新疆红枣种植和发展规划, 促进新疆红枣产业的持续稳定发展具有重要意义。利用新疆101个气象站1961-2012年的历史气候资料, 使用线性趋势分析、累积距平和t-检验以及基于ArcGIS的混合插值法, 在对近52年新疆≥10 ℃积温、冬季极端最低气温和6-7月平均气温时空变化进行分析的基础上, 结合红枣气候区划指标, 对气候变化背景下新疆红枣种植气候区划的变化进行了分析。研究结果表明: 1)新疆≥10 ℃积温、冬季极端最低气温和6-7月平均气温的空间分布总体呈现"南疆高、北疆低, 平原和盆地高、山区低"的格局。2)近52年新疆≥10 ℃积温、冬季极端最低气温和6-7月平均气温分别以62.22 ℃?d?10a~(-1)、0.551 ℃?10a~(-1)和0.221 ℃?10a~(-1)的倾向率呈显著上升趋势, 并分别于1997年、1982年和1994年发生了突变。受其影响, 1997年后新疆红枣适宜种植区面积增至5.05*10~5 km~2, 较之前增加1.20*10~5 km~2, 占新疆总面积比例增大7.3个百分点; 而次适宜种植区面积缩小4.0*10~4 km~2, 占新疆总面积比例缩小2.4个百分点; 不适宜种植区面积缩小8.01*10~4 km~2, 占新疆总面积比例缩小4.9个百分点。气候变化使新疆红枣适宜种植区面积明显扩大, 次适宜和不适宜种植区面积有所减小, 这种变化对促进新疆红枣产业的发展具有重要意义。
英文摘要: On the backdrop of climate change, changes in climatic zones of jujube planting in Xinjiang was studied. Of significant importance were adaptation to climate change, full rational use of agro-climatic resources, scientific planting of Xinjiang jujube, development planning and promotion of sustainable/stable development of Xinjiang jujube industry. Using long-term (1961-2012) climate data from 101 meteorological stations in Xinjiang region along with linear regression, cumulative anomaly, t-test and mixed spatial interpolation analyses in ArcGIS environment, the study analyzed the fundamental characteristics of spatio-temporal changes in ≥10 ℃ cumulative temperature, extreme minimum temperature in winter and mean temperature for June-July. The impact of climate change on jujube planting zones was studied in relation to climate division index of jujube planting zones. The results showed that spatial distributions of ≥10 ℃ cumulative temperature, extreme minimum temperature and mean temperature for June-July obviously varied from place to place in Xinjiang. Generally, these factors were higher in the south than in the north and in the plain/basin than in the mountain regions of jujube planting zones in Xinjiang. On the backdrop of global warming in the last 52 years, ≥10 ℃ cumulative temperature, extreme minimum temperature and mean temperature for June-July showed significantly increasing trends by the tendency rate of 62.22 ℃?d?10a~(-1), 0.551 ℃?10a~(-1) and 0.221 ℃?10a~(-1), respectively, and with significant changes in 1997, 1982 and 1994. With this effect, suitable planting areas of jujube increased by 1.2 * 10~5 km~2 after 1997, representing 7.3 percentage points increase in total area ratio. The areas with sub-suitability for planting jujube decreased by 4.0 * 10~4 km~2, representing 2.4 percentage points decrease in total area ratio. Also areas classified as unsuitable for planting jujube decreased by and 8.0*10~4 km~2, representing 4.9 percentage points decrease in total area ratio. While climate change increased the areas suitable for planting jujube, it decreased sub-suitable area and unsuitable areas for planting jujube in Xinjiang. This was critical for enhancing the development of jujube industry in Xinjiang.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/148849
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.新疆农业气象台, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830002, 中国
2.新疆乌鲁木齐市气象局, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830002, 中国
3.中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830002, 中国
4.新疆气象局, 乌鲁木齐, 新疆 830002, 中国

Recommended Citation:
张山清,普宗朝,李景林,等. 气候变化对新疆红枣种植气候区划的影响[J]. 中国生态农业学报,2014-01-01,22(6):126-132
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