globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5619425
论文题名:
过去2000年中国区域温度模拟与重建的对比分析
其他题名: Comparison of Simulated and Reconstructed Temperature in China during the past 2000 years
作者: 王晓青1; 刘健2; 王志远1
刊名: 地球科学进展
ISSN: 1001-8166
出版年: 2015
卷: 30, 期:12, 页码:1370-1380
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 过去2 000年 ; 气候模拟 ; 气候重建 ; 温度 ; 时空变化
英文关键词: Past 2 000 years ; Climate simulation ; Climate reconstruction ; Temperature ; Spatial-temporal variation
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 依据观测/再分析资料及过去2 000年中国区域温度重建资料,对通用地球系统模式(CESM)近2 000年模拟温度进行时空变化的对比分析,检验模式对中国区域温度的模拟性能。结果表明,模拟温度较好地体现了中国区域年平均温度的空间分布型态以及近半个世纪以来的上升趋势;也较好地模拟出了过去2 000年重建资料反映的中国区域平均温度的年代际变化特征;在百年尺度上,模拟的中国区域温度的波动变化与重建资料也基本一致,但华中及青藏地区模拟与重建有所差异。模拟的中国区域平均温度均显示了0540年、8001250年和1901 2000年3个暖期,551 721年和14001850年2个冷期,与重建结果具有一定的差异。这可能与模式的分辨率、外强迫条件、次网格过程的参数化方案等不确定性有关。
英文摘要: Studying climate changes over the past 2 000 years has important scientific significance in exploring climate variability on decadal to centennial timescales, assessing the natural and anthropogenic contribution to the climate warming, and understanding the effects of human activities in the past and future climate changes. Due to the scarcity of observation and uncertainty of reconstruction in this period, climate model is developed as a useful tool for studying paleoclimate. The Community Earth System Model (CESM) is one of the state-of-the-art climate models,but its performance in simulating the temperature in China has not been examined. The temperature datasets of observation/reanalysis (GHCN_CAMS) and reconstructions during the past 2000 years in China were used to examine the performance of CESM. The comparison between the annual average temperatures of GHCN_CAMS reanalysis and simulation showed that the model well reproduced the spatial distributions and upward trend of the annual average temperature in China,and the comparison with reconstructions in five sub-regions of China indicated that the simulation were in good consistent with the average temperature changes of reconstructionson decadal time scales. On the centennial time scale,the average temperature fluctuations of simulation in the regions of China were in accord with reconstructions generally except for Central East and Tibet. There existed three warm periods of simulated temperature variation in China over the past 2000 years, including 0-540AD, 800-1250AD and 1901-2000AD, and two cold periods involving the 551-721 AD and 1400-1850AD,which had some discrepancies with reconstructions. And the discrepancies between simulation and reconstructions might be related to uncertainties of the resolution, external forcing and parameterization of the subgrid-scale process in the model.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/149184
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.南京师范大学地理科学学院, 虚拟地理环境教育部重点实验室
2.江苏省地理环境演化国家重点实验室培育建设点, 南京, 江苏 210023, 中国
3.南京师范大学地理科学学院, 虚拟地理环境教育部重点实验室
4.江苏省地理环境演化国家重点实验室培育建设点
5.江苏省大规模复杂系统数值模拟重点实验室
6.江苏省地理信息资源开发与利用协同创新中心, 南京, 江苏 210023, 中国

Recommended Citation:
王晓青,刘健,王志远. 过去2000年中国区域温度模拟与重建的对比分析[J]. 地球科学进展,2015-01-01,30(12):1370-1380
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[王晓青]'s Articles
[刘健]'s Articles
[王志远]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[王晓青]'s Articles
[刘健]'s Articles
[王志远]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[王晓青]‘s Articles
[刘健]‘s Articles
[王志远]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.