globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5512496
论文题名:
RegCM3下1951 - 2100年江苏省热量资源及一季稻气候生产潜力
其他题名: Thermal resources and climatic potential productivity of single-season rice in Jiangsu province under RegCM3 from 1951 to 2100
作者: 褚荣浩1; 申双和2; 吕厚荃3; 李萌1; 喻丽4; 沙修竹5
刊名: 江苏农业学报
ISSN: 1000-4440
出版年: 2015
卷: 31, 期:4, 页码:1485-1490
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 江苏省 ; 热量资源 ; 一季稻 ; 气候生产潜力
英文关键词: RegCM3 ; RegCM3 ; Jiangsu province ; thermal resource ; single-season rice ; climatic potential productivity
WOS学科分类: AGRONOMY
WOS研究方向: Agriculture
中文摘要: 为揭示气候变化情景下江苏省热量资源及一季稻气候生产潜力变化规律,本研究根据江苏省1971 - 2000年逐日站点气象数据以及RegCM3模式模拟输出的格点气象数据,从中提取江苏省气象资料,对RegCM3下1951 - 2100年江苏省热量资源及一季稻气候生产潜力进行时空变化分析。结果显示: (1)江苏省热量资源总体呈现年≥10 ℃积温空间上由东北向西南逐渐增加,且随年份增加逐渐增加;一季稻适播期(≥10 ℃初日)空间上由西南向东北逐渐推迟,且随年份增加逐渐提前;一季稻生育期天数1951 - 2010年由东北向西南逐渐缩短,2011 - 2100年由东南向西北逐渐缩短。(2)随着热量资源的逐渐增加,江苏省一季稻气候生产潜力主要呈现出时间上低-高-低、空间上由西南向东北逐渐递减的趋势,且苏南西南部一直为高值区。
英文摘要: In order to reveal the change rules of thermal resources and climatic potential productivity of single season rice in Jiangsu province under climate change scenarios,based on daily meteorological data from 1971 to 2000 in Huang-Huai- Hai region combing with daily meteorological data from the regional climate model RegCM3,the meteorological data of Jiangsu province was extracted,and the spatial and temporal variations of the characteristics of thermal resources and climatic potential productivity of single-season rice in Jiangsu province under RegCM3 from 1951 to 2100 were analyzed. The results showed that: ① The accumulated temperature above 10 ℃ increased gradually from northeast to southwest over time. The optimum sowing date(the first day for the daily temperature to steadily pass 10 ℃) of single-season rice advanced gradually over time and delayed gradually from southwest to northeast. The length of single-season rice growth season was shortened gradually from northeast to southwest from 1951 to 2010,and was shortened as well from southeast to northwest from 2011 to 2100. and ②With the increase of thermal resources,the climatic potential productivity of single-season rice in Jiangsu province showed a low-high-low trend over time and decreased gradually from southwest to northeast,and the southwestern of southern Jiangsu province yielded the highest.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/149528
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.南京信息工程大学应用气象学院, 南京, 江苏 210044, 中国
2.南京信息工程大学, 气象灾害预警预报与评估协同创新中心, 南京, 江苏 210044, 中国
3.中国气象局国家气象中心, 北京 100081, 中国
4.盐城大丰市气象局, 大丰, 江苏 224100, 中国
5.河南省人工影响天气领导小组办公室, 郑州, 河南 450003, 中国

Recommended Citation:
褚荣浩,申双和,吕厚荃,等. RegCM3下1951 - 2100年江苏省热量资源及一季稻气候生产潜力[J]. 江苏农业学报,2015-01-01,31(4):1485-1490
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