globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5579893
论文题名:
海南岛天然橡胶气候适宜性及变化趋势分析以第一蓬叶生长期为例
其他题名: Climate suitability and its trend of change for rubber plant in the first canopy leaf growth period in Hainan Island
作者: 刘少军1; 房世波2
刊名: 农业现代化研究
ISSN: 1000-0275
出版年: 2015
卷: 36, 期:6, 页码:1531-1541
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 天然橡胶 ; 第一蓬叶生长期 ; 气候适宜性 ; 气候变化 ; 海南岛
英文关键词: rubber plant ; the first canopy leaf growth period ; climate suitability ; climate change ; Hainan Island
WOS学科分类: AGRICULTURE MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Agriculture
中文摘要: 本文选择初产-旺产期的天然橡胶为例,选择温度、降水量和降水日数、日照、风速等气象要素,建立相应的模型,定量评价海南橡胶在第一蓬叶生长期的气候适宜性。结果表明:海南岛天然橡胶第一蓬叶生长期的温度适宜度在0.82-0.96之间,变化趋势为-0.008-0.034/10a;降水适宜度在0.22-0.57之间,变化趋势为-0.023-0.042/10a;日照适宜度在0.45-0.82之间,变化趋势为-0.060-0.032/10a;风速适宜度在0.34-0.77之间,变化趋势为-0.033-0.138/10a;气候适宜度在0.41-0.68之间,变化趋势为-0.006-0.044/10a。总体而言,气候变化对海南橡胶第一蓬叶生长期的影响较小,变化趋势不明显。
英文摘要: In this paper, the temperature, precipitation, the number of days with precipitation, solar radiation, wind speed and other meteorological elements were selected to establish a model to assess the climate suitability of rubber plant in growing season within a time period of 10-12 years. The results showed that:temperature suitability of the first canopy leaf growth period rubber plant in Hainan Island was between 0.82-0.96, and change trend was -0.008-0.034/10a; precipitation suitability degree was between 0.22-0.57, and change trend was -0.023-0.042/10a; sunshine suitability degree was 0.45-0.82, and change trend was -0.060-0.032/10a; wind suitability was between 0.34-0.77, change trend was between-0.033-0.138/10a; climate suitability was between 0.41-0.68, and changes was between -0.006-0.044/10a. In general, the impacts of climate change on the rubber plant during the first canopy leaf growth period in Hainan Island was not significant, the trend of change was relatively negligible.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/149645
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.海南省气象科学研究所, 海南省南海气象防灾减灾重点实验室, 海口, 海南 570203, 中国
2.中国气象科学研究院, 北京 100081, 中国

Recommended Citation:
刘少军,房世波. 海南岛天然橡胶气候适宜性及变化趋势分析以第一蓬叶生长期为例[J]. 农业现代化研究,2015-01-01,36(6):1531-1541
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