globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5416287
论文题名:
基于供需构造的北京水循环动态失衡及修复机理
其他题名: Dynamic disequilibrium and restoration mechanism of Beijings water resources in a supply-demand perspective
作者: 曹和平1; 顾兴国1; 郭来喜2
刊名: 中国环境科学
ISSN: 1000-6923
出版年: 2015
卷: 35, 期:4, 页码:178-190
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 都会化 ; 人然水循环 ; 供需构造 ; 水位复升工程
英文关键词: urbanization ; a quasi-nature water ecology ; water supply-demand disequilibrium ; ecological restoration
WOS学科分类: ENGINEERING MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Engineering
中文摘要: 水资源短缺严重制约着北京21世纪世界城市宏伟目标的实现.在引入基于自然与人然良性互动基础上的成水构造、蓄水构造与用水构造等跨学科概念之后,提出区域水生态"供需构造链条说".进一步,本研究对半个世纪来北京水循环数据分析发现,水资源总量随降水量而变化,相对多年平均量均减,北京水资源生态系统呈弱化态势;2001~2012年用水总量超过水资源总量,水生态系统失衡.循上述发现,对北京区域水生态系统供需数据进行回归分析、揭示北京气候变化与人然活动水文关联效应,指出水循环动态失衡机理的行为贡献因子.最后,基于用水增长有行为上改进空间的思想,提出北京水循环动态失衡在短期运用行为矫正机制,采用总量管理和水市场调节合理用水,长期上运用水环境动态均衡修复原理,启动北京和周边地区的地下水位复升工程的政策建议.
英文摘要: The shortage of water resources restricts Beijings global city position in the 21th Century. With the assistance of the definition of a quasi-nature process of water dynamics by a metro-population body, this paper presents a construct chain consisting of water-genesis structure, water conservation structure and water-consumption structure, which enabling the authors to argue that the dynamic disequilibrium of the chain is caused by the metro-sized urbanization. With the analysis of Beijings water supply-demand cycle over half a century, the authors indicate that: The marginal reservation of water resources is roughly equal to variation of the precipitation, and both decrease relative to their long-term levels; the consumption in 2001~2012 was up to a higher level than the annual amount the local could supplied, a dynamic disequilibrium of water ecological system. Through regressions, the authors, then, reveals that there exists a correlation between the climate change and human activities, and points out the behavioral pattern of metro population body is a contribution factor of the disequilibrium. In the end, the authors raises up some advice for reform and projects inversing the disequilibrium.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/150224
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.北京大学经济学院, 北京 100101, 中国
2.中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, 北京 100101, 中国

Recommended Citation:
曹和平,顾兴国,郭来喜. 基于供需构造的北京水循环动态失衡及修复机理[J]. 中国环境科学,2015-01-01,35(4):178-190
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