globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5708365
论文题名:
一次长江流域梅雨降水中三种云量计算方案的对比研究
其他题名: Comparison of the performance of three schemes in calculating the cloudiness during a Mei-yu rainfall process over the Yangtze River Basin
作者: 崔文君1; 智协飞1; 朱寿鹏1; 周志敏2; 王晓芳2; 李红莉2
刊名: 大气科学学报
ISSN: 1674-7097
出版年: 2016
卷: 39, 期:2, 页码:195-205
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 相对湿度 ; 云量计算 ; Slingo方案 ; NCAR方案 ; 钱氏方案
英文关键词: relative humidity ; cloudiness calculation ; Slingo scheme ; NCAR scheme ; Qian scheme
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 采用NCEP分析场,选取2010年梅雨期长江流域的一次降水过程,分别基于Slingo方案、NCAR方案和钱氏方案,利用相对湿度计算云量,并以LAPS(Local Analysisand Prediction System)系统输出的云量分析场作为观测值,分别在高层(400 hPa)与低层(850 hPa) ,从宏观比较与统计分析的角度,与计算结果进行云量大小与区域分布的对比分析。结果表明,三个云量计算方案对云量中心位置的把握均较为准确,但对云量值的计算存在大小不等的误差。NCAR方案计算结果和LAPS输出场最为吻合,能够体现出云量大值区,但区域一般偏大; Slingo方案相较NCAR方案来说略差,但也能较好地描述云带分布;此外,钱氏方案计算出的云量值始终偏小,但其能够较好地描述云带轮廓与云量的分布特征。综合对比结果,NCAR云量计算方案比其余两者更优,且在低层(850 hPa)表现尤为明显。
英文摘要: Cloud is an important internal factor of the climate system,especially in the earthatmosphere system. The formation of clouds and their characteristics mainly result from both dynamic and thermodynamic processes of the surface and the atmosphere. An accurate grasp of the distribution of cloud and its variability can contribute greatly when attempting to assess the role of cloud in climate change. And related to this,a calculation scheme that is effective at describing cloudiness is a key part of improving the ability to simulate cloud in numerical models. In order to identify a satisfactory cloudiness calculation scheme, the present study employed NCEP reanalysis data to calculate cloudiness and relative humidity,based on three schemes(Slingo,NCAR,and Qian) ,during a Mei-yu rainfall process in the Yangtze River basin in 2010. Comparative analysis between the calculation results and Local Analysis and Prediction System(LAPS) reanalysis data,considered as the cloud observation,was conducted in terms of cloud distribution and cloudiness values at upper and lower levels, represented by 400 hPa and 850 hPa, respectively. Based on the comparison results,as well as statistical analysis involving anomaly correlation coefficients(ACCs) and RMSE, it was found that the three cloudiness calculation schemes all managed to successfully simulate the cloud central positions,but each had their own advantages and particular characteristics when it came to cloudiness values. The results calculated using the NCAR scheme matched the LAPS outputs very well at largevalue centers of cloud,but the regions containing these values were always too large. To a certain extent,although it was found that the Slingo scheme could also describe the cloud well, it showed a slightly lower capacity than the NCAR scheme in terms of its cloudiness calculation. Additionally, the Qian scheme demonstrated fairly limited ability to calculate the cloudiness values,but always presented the cloud profile and its distribution accurately. Based on the statistical analysis,at 850 hPa, the NCAR scheme produced its maximum ACC and minimum RMSE, indicating its superiority over the other schemes at calculating the cloudiness at that height. However, the Qian scheme yielded the best statistical results at 400 hPa,possibly due to the close correspondence of its cloudiness distribution results with the observation. Of importance here is that, to a certain extent, the Qian scheme takes into account the cloud formation mechanism and the influence of atmospheric vertical motion on cloud formation when calculating the cloudiness. Overall,based on this comprehensive comparison of relevant factors,we conclude that the NCAR scheme is superior to the others,particularly at the lower level(850 hPa).
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/150563
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.南京信息工程大学, 气象灾害教育部重点实验室
2.气候与环境变化国际合作联合实验室
3.气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心, 南京, 江苏 210044, 中国
4.中国气象局武汉暴雨研究所, 武汉, 湖北 430205, 中国

Recommended Citation:
崔文君,智协飞,朱寿鹏,等. 一次长江流域梅雨降水中三种云量计算方案的对比研究[J]. 大气科学学报,2016-01-01,39(2):195-205
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