globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5851221
论文题名:
全球变化人口与经济系统风险形成机制及评估研究
其他题名: A Study of Global Change Population and Economic System Risk Forming Mechanism and Assessment
作者: 史培军1; 王爱慧2; 孙福宝3; 李宁1; 叶涛1; 徐伟1; 王静爱4; 杨建平5; 周洪建6
刊名: 地球科学进展
ISSN: 1001-8166
出版年: 2016
卷: 31, 期:8, 页码:202-209
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 全球变化 ; 全球气候变化预估 ; 人口与经济系统 ; 风险形成机制 ; 风险评估模型与模拟
英文关键词: Global change ; Global climate change prediction ; Population and economic system ; Risk forming mechanism ; Risk assessment models and modeling
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 以增暖为主要特征的全球气候变化,已经对世界可持续发展和人类安全提出严峻挑战。在全球尺度上评价全球变化风险,开展有针对性的防范与适应,已经成为当前国际社会的重要共识。国家重点研发计划项目全球变化人口与经济系统风险形成机制及评估研究,力图定量预估未来全球气候变化和人口与经济系统的暴露性与脆弱性变化,构建基于复杂系统动力学的全球变化人口与经济系统风险定量评估模型,集成具有自主知识产权的全球变化人口与经济系统风险评估模式,并在全球尺度上定量评估近期和中期全球变化人口与经济系统风险,编制全球变化人口与经济系统风险地图集。为我国参与全球气候治理及国际气候谈判,以及国际减轻灾害风险战略框架的实施提供科学支撑。
英文摘要: Global climate change featured with warming has created serious challenge to world sustainable development and human security. It has become an important consensus of the international society to assess global change risk at the global scale and carry out tailored governance and risk-based adaptation. National Key Research and Development ProgramStudy on global change population and economic system risk forming mechanism and assessmentaims at quantitatively predicting future global climate change and population and economic system exposure and vulnerability change,developing global change population and economic system risk assessment model based on complex system dynamics,synthesizing risk assessment model with proprietary intellectual property rights, assess global change population and economic system risk of the near and mid future at the global scale,and compiling the atlas of global change population and economic system risk. The outcomes intend to serve the participation of global risk governance and international climate negotiation,and to provide scientific support to the implementation of international disaster risk reduction strategy.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/150674
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.北京师范大学, 地表过程与资源生态国家重点实验室, 北京 100875, 中国
2.中国科学院大气物理研究所, 北京 100029, 中国
3.中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, 北京 100101, 中国
4.北京师范大学地理学与遥感科学学院, 北京 100875, 中国
5.中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院(筹), 兰州, 甘肃 730000, 中国
6.民政部国家减灾中心, 北京 100124, 中国

Recommended Citation:
史培军,王爱慧,孙福宝,等. 全球变化人口与经济系统风险形成机制及评估研究[J]. 地球科学进展,2016-01-01,31(8):202-209
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