globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5623903
论文题名:
新疆阿拉尔地区近53年气候变化特征分析
其他题名: Analysis of climate changing characteristics in Alar area from 1961 to 2013
作者: 牛建龙1; 彭杰1; 王家强1; 王煜东2; 郝璐2
刊名: 干旱区资源与环境
ISSN: 1003-7578
出版年: 2016
卷: 30, 期:1, 页码:210-223
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 气候变化 ; 气候突变 ; 阿拉尔
英文关键词: climate change ; abrupt climate change ; Alar
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 根据新疆阿拉尔地区1961-2013年逐日平均气温、最高气温、最低气温、日照时数、平均风速、降水量等气象资料,采用Penman - Monteith模型、气候倾向率和Mann - Kendall非参数检验法分析了阿拉尔地区近53年气候变化特征。结果表明:1)阿拉尔地区年平均气温、最低气温呈低- 高- 低的动态变化; 最高气温呈高- 低- 高的动态变化,1987年为气温年突变点。2)阿拉尔地区自1987年以来,春季最低气温增幅为0.19℃ /10a(p ﹤0.05),夏季最低气温减幅为0.044℃ /10a(p ﹤0.05),秋季平均气温和最低气温减幅分别为0.117℃ /10a(p ﹤0.01)和0.004℃ /10a(p ﹤0.01),冬季平均气温、最高气温和最低气温减幅分别为0.681℃ /10a(p ﹤0.01)、0.478℃ /10a(p ﹤0.05)和0.606℃ /10a(p ﹤0.01),呈春暖- 夏暖- 秋冷- 冬冷的动态变化。3)阿拉尔地区20世纪90年代前,降水负距平占66.7%,k值>32的年份占64.2%,气候极端干燥;20世纪90年代后,降水正距平占61.3%,k值>32的年份占52%,气候相对湿润,呈干- 湿的动态变化,干燥度均在16以上。
英文摘要: Based on the meteorological date of the average temperature,relative humidity,average wind velocity, the maximum temperature,the minimum temperature,sunshine hours and precipitation from 1961 to 2013 in Alar area,we analyzed the climate changing characteristics in Alar area by Penman - Monteith model,climate inclination rate,and Mann - Kendall method. The result shows that: 1) The average temperature and minimum temperature dynamic change trend was" low - high - low",the maximum temperature dynamic change trend was" high - low - high ". 2) The increasing rates of minimum temperature in spring and in summer were the 0.19℃ /10a and 0.044℃ /10a respectively. Meanwhile,the decline rates of average temperature and minimum temperature were the 0.117℃ /10a and 0.004℃ /10a in autumn. The decline rates of average temperature, maximum temperature and minimum temperature were the 0.681℃ /10a,0. 478℃ /10a and 0.606℃ /10a in winter since 1987. Besides,it was going through a dynamic change trend,which was " spring warm - summer warm - autumn cold - winter cold". 3) The climate of extreme dry and precipitation negative anomaly were predominantly before 1990s,and the climate of relative wet and precipitation positive anomaly were predominant since 1990s. The aridity index was greater than 16 and the dynamic change trend was " drying - wetting" aridity index in Alar area.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/150843
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.塔里木大学植物科学学院, 阿拉尔, 新疆 843300, 中国
2.南京信息工程大学应用气象学院, 南京, 江苏 210044, 中国

Recommended Citation:
牛建龙,彭杰,王家强,等. 新疆阿拉尔地区近53年气候变化特征分析[J]. 干旱区资源与环境,2016-01-01,30(1):210-223
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[牛建龙]'s Articles
[彭杰]'s Articles
[王家强]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[牛建龙]'s Articles
[彭杰]'s Articles
[王家强]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[牛建龙]‘s Articles
[彭杰]‘s Articles
[王家强]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.