globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5696416
论文题名:
气候变化对中国粮食产量的影响-基于省级面板数据的实证
其他题名: Impacts of climate change on China's grain production-Empirical analysis based on provincial panel data
作者: 尹朝静; 李谷成; 高雪
刊名: 干旱区资源与环境
ISSN: 1003-7578
出版年: 2016
卷: 30, 期:6, 页码:2117-2126
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 粮食 ; 产量 ; 降水 ; 气温 ; 气候变化
英文关键词: grain ; yield ; precipitation ; temperature ; climate change
WOS学科分类: AGRICULTURE MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Agriculture
中文摘要: 粮食生产与气候变化紧密相关。利用1984-2013年28个省(市、区)粮食生产投入产出数据和气象数据实证分析了气候变化对粮食产量的影响及其区域差异性。研究表明: 1)降水增加和气温上升均对粮食产量变动产生了正向影响。降水量每增加100mm,粮食产量增加0. 67% ~ 0. 85%。温度每上升1℃,粮食产量增加0. 35% ~ 0. 41%。同时,降水量和气温对粮食产量的影响具有显著的非线性关系。2)降水增加和气温上升抑制了南方地区粮食产量增长,但对北方地区却有促进作用。
英文摘要: Grain production is closely related to climate change. This article aims to analyze the effects of climate change on grain production and its regional differences based on input and output data and meteorological data of grain production across all country in 28 provinces(cities and districts) from 1984 to 2013. The results show that: 1) The impacts of both precipitation increase and temperature rise were positive. With the increase of precipitation per 100mm,the grain production increased by 0. 67% ~ 0. 85%. With the increase of temperature per 1℃,the grain yield increased by 0. 35% ~ 0. 41%. Meanwhile,the impacts of precipitation and temperature on grain production were significant and nonlinear. 2) The increase of precipitation and temperature rise inhibited the growth of grain production in south China,while promoted the grain yield on the northern region.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/150858
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作者单位: 华中农业大学经济管理学院, 武汉, 湖北 430070, 中国

Recommended Citation:
尹朝静,李谷成,高雪. 气候变化对中国粮食产量的影响-基于省级面板数据的实证[J]. 干旱区资源与环境,2016-01-01,30(6):2117-2126
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