globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5823917
论文题名:
环境变化对湘江湘潭站径流的影响研究
其他题名: Impact of Environmental Change on the Runoff of Xiangtan Hydrological Station in Xiangjiang Basin
作者: 任政1; 盛东2; 张丽1
刊名: 水土保持研究
ISSN: 1005-3409
出版年: 2016
卷: 23, 期:6, 页码:257-270
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 环境变化 ; 突变点 ; 新安江模型 ; 径流
英文关键词: environmental change ; abrupt point ; Xinanjiang model ; runoff
WOS学科分类: GEOSCIENCES MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Geology
中文摘要: 环境变化引起河川径流的显著变化,为水文水资源管理带来新的挑战,如何区分气候变化和人类活动对径流的影响是水文科学研究的热点和难点。基于STARS和Pettitt方法,综合检验径流时间序列的突变点,构建天然期径流过程模拟的水文模型,将人类活动期的径流过程还原到天然状态,并从不同年代和不同水平年的角度探讨环境变化对人类活动期的径流影响。结果表明:1992年为湘潭站19572014年径流时间序列的突变点,新安江模型对湘潭站天然期径流过程具有较好的模拟效果,人类活动和气候变化引起人类活动期径流增加的贡献率分别为68.24%和31.76%,气候变化影响最大的时间为20112014年,人类活动影响最大的时间为20012010年,尤以丰水年影响最大。
英文摘要: The significant runoff changes forced by environment changes have brought new challenges for hydrology and water resources management.How to identify impacts of climate change and human activities to runoff change is a hot and difficult topic in hydrological science research.Firstly,the abrupt point of annual runoff time series is identified by comprehensive analysis based on STARS and Pettitt method and divided into natural and human activity period.Secondly,the hydrological model is built to simulate runoff process of natural period.Thirdly,the runoff processes of human activity period are simulated by the hydrological model.Lastly,the impact of environmental change on runoff change during human activity period is discussed under every decade and different year of precipitation frequency.The results show that the abrupt point from 1957 to 2014 is in 1992 for annual runoff time series of Xiangtan station in Xiangjiang Basin,there is very good agreement between measurements and calculations for natural runoff process based on Xinanjiang hydrological model,and the contribution rates of human activities and climate change to runoff change during human activity period are 68.24% and 31.76%,respectively,when the biggest times of climate change impact are in 20112014 but of human activity is in 20012010 especially at high precipitation year.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/151559
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.河北工程大学水电学院, 邯郸, 河北 056038, 中国
2.湖南省水利水电科学研究所水资源管理研究中心, 长沙, 湖南 410007, 中国

Recommended Citation:
任政,盛东,张丽. 环境变化对湘江湘潭站径流的影响研究[J]. 水土保持研究,2016-01-01,23(6):257-270
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[任政]'s Articles
[盛东]'s Articles
[张丽]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[任政]'s Articles
[盛东]'s Articles
[张丽]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[任政]‘s Articles
[盛东]‘s Articles
[张丽]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.