globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5676854
论文题名:
陕西省林火特征及与关键气候因子的关系
其他题名: Characteristic of Forest Fires and the Relationship between Forest Fires and Key Climate Factors in Shaanxi Province
作者: 沈姣姣1; 宋鸿1; 曹慧萍1; 曹岳2
刊名: 灾害学
ISSN: 1000-811X
出版年: 2016
卷: 31, 期:2, 页码:273-280
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 林火特征 ; 气候因子 ; 滞后性 ; 火灾频次 ; 受害森林面积
英文关键词: characteristic of forest fires ; climate factors ; lagging features ; the number of forest fires ; forest fire-burnt area
WOS学科分类: ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES ; FORESTRY
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Forestry
中文摘要: 采用趋势分析法和相关分析法,选择年均湿润系数、年均风速、年均气温日较差作为气象指标,火灾次数和受害森林面积作为火灾指标,对1954-2013年陕西省、陕北、关中和陕南不同地区的气象因子与森林火灾之间的关系进行研究,为气候变暖背景下林火防治提供理论依据。结果如下:陕西省森林火灾次数和受害森林面积与时间序列呈反曲线式下降,1950年代至1960年代前期陕西森林火灾频发,1990年代后火灾减少并趋于稳定。陕西林火每个月都有发生,89.3%的受害森林面积集中在1-5月,每天的10-12时和13-16时是火险高发时段,且火灾等级较高。陕西省火灾分布具有明显的地域特征。年均湿润系数和年均气温日较差表现出下降趋势,年均风速在21世纪以来逐渐加大。气候因子对森林火灾的影响具有地域性和滞后性,年均湿润系数、年均风速和年均气温日较差均对当年森林火灾表现出正相关。目前陕西林火逐渐减少并趋于稳定,气候变化背景下,未来森林火灾风险将进一步加剧。
英文摘要: In order to study the characteristic of forest fires and the relationship between forest fires and the key climate factors,and provide theoretical basis for forest fire prevention under the background of climate warming, trend analysis and correlation analysis are used in the study,annual mean moisture coefficient,annual mean wind speed,and annual mean daily temperature range are analyzed as meteorological index,the number of forest fires and the forest fire-burnt area are analyzed as forest fire index. The relationship between forest fires and the key climate factors are studied from 1954 to 2013 in Shaanxi,the northern part of Shaanxi,the central region of Shaanxi,and the southern part of Shaanxi. The results show that,the number of forest fires and the forest fire-burnt area decreased in inverse curve way with the time series. Forest fires occurred frequently in the 1950s to the early 1960s,reduced and stabilized since the 1990s. There were forest fires in every month,and 89.3% of the forest fire-burnt area occurred in January,February,March,April and May. Most of the forest fires especially the bigger fires happened at 10-12 am and 13-16 pm in every day. Forest fires appeared apparent geographical features in Shaanxi province. Annual mean moisture coefficient and annual mean daily temperature range showed a downward trend,while annual mean wind speed increased since the beginning of the 21th century. Impact of climate factors on forest fires performed regional and lagging features. Annual mean moisture coefficient,annual mean wind speed, and annual mean daily temperature range all showed positive correlation to forest fires in the same year. Now forest fires in Shaanxi reduced and stabilized at a low level,the risk of forest fire will aggravate in the future under the background of climate warming.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/151756
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.陕西省气象服务中心, 西安, 陕西 710014, 中国
2.陕西省森林防火指挥部办公室, 西安, 陕西 710082, 中国

Recommended Citation:
沈姣姣,宋鸿,曹慧萍,等. 陕西省林火特征及与关键气候因子的关系[J]. 灾害学,2016-01-01,31(2):273-280
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