globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6110070
论文题名:
济南市降水特征时空演变规律分析
其他题名: Spatiotemporal variations in precipitation in Ji'nan,China
作者: 常晓栋1; 徐宗学1; 赵刚1; 宋苏林2
刊名: 北京师范大学学报. 自然科学版
ISSN: 0476-0301
出版年: 2017
卷: 53, 期:5, 页码:300-306
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 济南市 ; 降水 ; 时空演变 ; Mann-Kendall检验 ; Sen&#39 ; s坡度法
英文关键词: Jinan City ; precipitation ; spatiotemporal variation ; Mann-Kendall test ; Sens slope estimator
WOS学科分类: ENGINEERING MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Engineering
中文摘要: 以济南市为研究对象,采用中国区域高时空分辨率地面气象要素驱动数据集中的降水数据,基于Mann- Kendall检验法和Sen's坡度法,对济南市各区域19792015年城区、山区及平原区域降水特征的时空演变规律进行了分析.结果表明:1)19792015年济南市年平均降水量为643.4mm,丰水年与枯水年常交替出现,年际变化幅度大,年平均降水量呈波动型增长,但增长趋势并不明显;2)济南市年降水量空间分布呈由西南向东北阶梯型递减的特征,且其分布特征与地形关系密切,南部山区降水普遍大于北部平原地区,空间分布极不均匀;3)济南市夏季降水集中,约占全年降水量的60%以上,且紧邻主城区的南部山区夏季降水量高达494.6mm,故主城区遭受山洪灾害的风险较大;4)近37年济南市平原区和主城区汛期降水量呈增加的趋势,山区汛期降水量有所减少,但降水量变化程度不显著.
英文摘要: In the past few years,urban areas have experienced frequent extreme climate events and disasters due to the effects of climate change and human activities,which have resulted in serious casualties and loss of properties.Therefore,it is of great importance to analyze the spatiotemporal variations and characteristics of precipitation in metropolis areas.In the present work,both Mann-Kendall test and Sens slope estimator were adopted to analyze the spatiotemporal variations and characteristics of precipitation for different land covers in Jinan City based on precipitation data extracted from China Meteorological Forcing Dataset(CMFD).It has been found that annual mean precipitation was 634.4mm in Jinan City from 1979- 2015,while annual precipitation showed significant changes in different years,indicating great interannual variability of precipitation.But annual precipitation showed an insignificant increasing trend with fluctuations. Annual precipitation was found to gradually decrease from southwest to northwest in Jinan City.This followed closely the topographic features, showing extremely inhomogeneous spatial distribution characteristics.Precipitation in Jinan City usually concentrated in summer,accounting for more than 60%of the annual precipitation.Summer precipitation in northern mountainous area was 494.6mm,with very high risk for flash flooding in downtown Jinan.Precipitation in wet season showed an increasing trend in plain and downtown areas,but showed a decreasing tendency in mountainous area in Jinan City in the past 37 years,but with no statistical significance.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/152070
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.北京师范大学水科学研究院, 水沙科学教育部重点实验室, 北京 100875, 中国
2.济南市水文局, 济南, 山东 250014, 中国

Recommended Citation:
常晓栋,徐宗学,赵刚,等. 济南市降水特征时空演变规律分析[J]. 北京师范大学学报. 自然科学版,2017-01-01,53(5):300-306
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