globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6038769
论文题名:
近42年榆中县气温突变及周期变化
其他题名: Mutations and cycle analysis of temperature in Yuzhong in recent 42years
作者: 潘舟艳1; 闫丽娟2; 李广1; 聂志刚3
刊名: 草业科学
ISSN: 1001-0629
出版年: 2017
卷: 34, 期:7, 页码:30-39
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 气候变化 ; 气温 ; 突变检测 ; 小波分析 ; 榆中
英文关键词: climate change ; temperature ; abrupt change test method ; wavelet analysis ; Yuzhong County
WOS学科分类: AGRICULTURE MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Agriculture
中文摘要: 利用榆中县1971-2012年的日平均气温,采用线性倾向率法、累积距平法、Mann-Kendall法和小波分析等方法,对榆中县42年来的温度变化和突变现象进行了研究。结果表明,近42年来,榆中县年平均气温变化在5.73~8.04℃,年平均气温呈现升高趋势,气候倾向率为0.26℃·10a~(-1),并且榆中县年平均气温突变出现在1995―1996年;榆中县四季平均气温表现为相同趋势,其中冬季的气候倾向率达到0.28 ℃·10a~(-1),增幅最明显;春季次之,为0.25 ℃·10a~(-1)。28a时间尺度是榆中年平均气温的第一主周期,同时还有14和6a时间尺度变化周期。榆中县气温呈上升趋势,且呈一定的周期和规律变化。
英文摘要: The characteristics of climate changes in Yuzhong was analyzed with the methods of the linear regression method,cumulative anomaly method,Mann-Kendall test method and Morlet wavelets analysis method based on daily average air temperature data observed at Yuzhong meteorological station from 1971to 2012.The authors analyzed the climate changing characteristics and abrupt changes over the last 42years in the area.The results showed that the climate in this region showed a warming trend,the annual mean temperature varied between 5.73and 8.04℃,and the annual temperature has increased by 0.26℃·10a~(-1)in recent 42years,and an abrupt change occurred in 1995-1996.In addition,the seasonal temperature showed the same trend,and the increase of temperature in winter were higher(0.28℃·10a~(-1))than in the spring(0.25℃·10a~(-1)).The climate change interval analysis that the annual mean temperature fluctuated significantly with the interval of 28 years,14years and 6years.There is an upward trend of temperatures in Yuzhong,with a certain period and the regularity of variation.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/152119
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.甘肃农业大学资源与环境学院, 兰州, 甘肃 730070, 中国
2.甘肃农业大学农学院, 兰州, 甘肃 730070, 中国
3.甘肃农业大学信息科学技术学院, 兰州, 甘肃 730070, 中国

Recommended Citation:
潘舟艳,闫丽娟,李广,等. 近42年榆中县气温突变及周期变化[J]. 草业科学,2017-01-01,34(7):30-39
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