globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5964906
论文题名:
中国短历时和长历时暴雨对总暴雨贡献的空间差异性研究(1961-2015)
其他题名: Spatial pattern difference between contribution of short and long duration heavy rainfall to total heavy rainfall in China from 1961 to 2015
作者: 孔锋1; 方建2; 吕丽莉3; 史培军4; 刘凡4; 王铸4; 杨旭4
刊名: 干旱区地理
ISSN: 1000-6060
出版年: 2017
卷: 40, 期:2, 页码:33-37
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 降水贡献率 ; 空间差异 ; 长-短历时暴雨 ; 总暴雨 ; 中国
英文关键词: precipitation contribution ; spatial difference ; long and short duration heavy rainfall ; total heavy rainfall ; China
WOS学科分类: ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
中文摘要: 采用1961-2015年659站日值降水数据,以持续1 d和持续2 d及以上暴雨作为短和长历时暴雨标准,分析不同历时暴雨变化趋势,结果表明,中国总降雨、总暴雨和短历时暴雨从东南沿海向西北内陆依次呈增-减-增的分布特征,且整体以增加趋势的站点占主导,而长历时暴雨则呈现出增-减的分布特征,且整体以减少趋势的站点占主导,并且检测出中国自东北向西南存在一条变干带。同时中国总暴雨对总降雨、长历时暴雨对总暴雨的贡献呈现出东南高-西北低的分布特征,而短历时暴雨对总暴雨的贡献呈现出东南低-西北高的分布特征。中国总暴雨对总降雨、短历时暴雨对总暴雨贡献的变化趋势呈现出增-增减镶嵌-增的分布特征,且以增加趋势的站点占主导,而长历时暴雨在东部沿海地区呈现出增减镶嵌的趋势,而西北内陆地区呈略微减少趋势,且以减少趋势的站点占主导,也检测出自东北向西南存在一条气候过渡带并与上述变干带基本重合。
英文摘要: Many regions are pounded with heavy rainfall,causing flood,casualties,property damage and severe destruction to ecosystem in multiple urban areas. Frequent occurrence of extremely heavy precipitation event under the background of global climate change has caused terrible harm on economic and social development,life security,ecosystem,etc.,brought profound impact on sustainable development of disaster area,become a key factor of global and regional disasters and environmental risk,and been widely concerned by academic circle and all sectors of the society. So severe disasters caused by extreme precipitation events have attracted more and more attention, and the relationship between different duration heavy rainfall and total heavy rainfall becomes the hottest scientific frontier issue. Different duration heavy rainfall's contribution to the total heavy rainfall has significant spatial differences. Here we use daily rainfall data from 1961 to 2015 of 659 meteorological stations in China. When the rainfall is greater than 50 mm in 24 hours,it is a heavy rainfall event. Heavy rainfall that only lasts for one day is defined as short duration heavy rainfall,while that lasts for more than two days is defined as long duration heavy rainfall. Results indicate that: total rainfall,total heavy rainfall and short duration heavy rainfall showedincreasing-decreasing-increasingfrom the southeast coastal to northwest inland in China from 1961 to 2015,and the meteorological stations with increasing trend were predominant. In the meantime,long duration heavy rainfall showedincreasing-decreasingspatial pattern,and meteorological stations with decreasing trend were predominant. There was a belt of becoming drought from northeast to southwest. The contribution of total heavy rainfall to total rainfall and long duration heavy rainfall to total heavy rainfall showedhigh in southeast- low in northwestspatial distribution pattern. On the contrary,the contribution of short duration heavy rainfall to total heavy rainfall showedlow in southeast-high in northwestspatial distribution pattern. The contribution trend of total heavy rainfall to total rainfall and long duration heavy rainfall to total heavy rainfall showed increasing-mosaic with increasing and decreasing-increasingspatial distribution pattern from northeast to southwest,and on the whole meteorological stations with increasing trend were predominant. On the contrary,the contribution trend of short duration heavy rainfall to total heavy rainfall showed mosaic with increasing and increasing in the northeast,slightly decreasing in the southwest,and meteorological stations with decreasing trend were predominant. There was a climate transition zone from northeast to southwest,which were essentially coincident with the arid zone. The results suggest that the precipitation in China is changing to extremely accompanied by the significant short duration storm increasing. Chinese heavy rainfall,especially the increase of short duration heavy rainfall suggests that human activity is likely to be triggered an increasing in extreme precipitation.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/152429
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.中国气象局发展研究中心, 地表过程与资源生态国家重点实验室
2.环境演变与自然灾害教育部重点实验室, 北京 100081, 中国
3.武汉大学资源与环境科学学院, 武汉, 湖北 430079, 中国
4.中国气象局发展研究中心, 北京 100081, 中国
5.北京师范大学, 地表过程与资源生态国家重点实验室
6.环境演变与自然灾害教育部重点实验室, 北京 100875, 中国

Recommended Citation:
孔锋,方建,吕丽莉,等. 中国短历时和长历时暴雨对总暴雨贡献的空间差异性研究(1961-2015)[J]. 干旱区地理,2017-01-01,40(2):33-37
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