globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5960892
论文题名:
1961-2014年黄土高原地区降水和气温时间变化特征研究
其他题名: Characteristics of temporal variation in precipitation and temperature in the Loess Plateau from 1961 to 2014
作者: 顾朝军1; 穆兴民1; 高鹏1; 孙文义2; 赵广举1
刊名: 干旱区资源与环境
ISSN: 1003-7578
出版年: 2017
卷: 31, 期:3, 页码:3383-3393
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 降水量 ; 气温 ; Hurst指数 ; Morlet小波分析 ; 黄土高原
英文关键词: precipitation ; temperature ; Hurst exponent ; wavelets analysis ; The Loess Plateau
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 降水和气温是影响黄土高原地区生态建设的关键气象要素。以黄土高原73个气象站1961-2014年降水和气温实测资料为基础,采用Mann-Kendall法、Hurst指数和小波分析等方法,研究了降水和气温时间变化特征。结果表明:黄土高原地区年、春、夏及秋季平均降水量年际变化趋势均不显著(P >0.05),但冬季以1.41mm/10a的倾向率显著上升(P < 0.01),且在1971年发生突变。年、春、秋、冬季平均气温均呈显著上升趋势,且突变时间发生于20世纪80年代中期和90年代中期。73站中,73.9%的站表现为朝着暖干化方向发展,19.2%的站呈现暖湿化态势,但冬季整个黄土高原暖湿化现象明显。降水量具有5a的第一主周期,气温存在13a的第一主周期。
英文摘要: Precipitation and temperature are the key meteorological elements that affect the vegetation restoration in the Loess Plateau. Characteristics of climate changes in the Loess Plateau was analyzed by linear regression method,Mann-Kendall test,Hurst exponent and wavelets analysis method based on daily precipitation and daily air temperature data observed at 73 meteorological stations across the Loess Plateau from 1961 to 2014. The result showed that mean precipitation covered the Loess Plateau had no significant temporal trends in annual, spring and summer,while precipitation in winter was in a significantly increasing trend with a rate of 1.41mm/ 10a,and emerged abrupt change in 1971. Annual mean temperature showed significantly increase trend with the increasing rate of 0.31℃ /10a,and nearly about 85% of stations showed significantly increase trend. The increased rate of seasonal temperature is as follows: winter >spring >autumn >summer. Change points of annual and seasonal temperature mostly appeared during mid-1980s and mid-1990s. Hurst exponent revealed that climate change in the Loess Plateau was overall towards to warmer and dryer,but in some areas tended to be warmer and wetter. The annual mean precipitation fluctuated significantly with the periods of 14 years,but annual mean temperature fluctuated with periods of 13 years. Annual precipitation in the Loess Plateau was negatively correlated with NOI,and there were also some correlation between seasonal precipitation and atmospheric circulation index. Annual temperature showed no significant correlation with atmospheric circulation index,while summer temperature was negatively correlated with PDO and winter temperature was positively correlated with WP.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/152478
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.西北农林科技大学水土保持研究所, 杨凌, 712100
2.中国科学院水利部水土保持研究所, 杨凌, 712100

Recommended Citation:
顾朝军,穆兴民,高鹏,等. 1961-2014年黄土高原地区降水和气温时间变化特征研究[J]. 干旱区资源与环境,2017-01-01,31(3):3383-3393
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