globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6090863
论文题名:
半干旱草原型流域径流变化特征及其影响因子定量分析
其他题名: Runoff variation and driven factors qualification for a semi-arid steppe watershed
作者: 段利民; 李玮; 刘廷玺; 罗艳云
刊名: 干旱区资源与环境
ISSN: 1003-7578
出版年: 2017
卷: 31, 期:10, 页码:341-346
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 草原型流域 ; 径流 ; 气候变化及人类活动 ; Mann-Kendall法 ; 弹性系数法
英文关键词: steppe watershed ; runoff ; climate change and human activity ; Mann-Kendall Method ; Elastic Coefficient Method
WOS学科分类: AGRICULTURE MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Agriculture
中文摘要: 研究引起径流变化的主要驱动因子对流域水文水资源与生态相关研究具有重要的指导意义。以典型草原型流域-锡林河流域1970-2014年径流及气象数据为基础,采用Mann-Kendall法、弹性系数法定量分析了气候变化及人类活动对径流变化的贡献程度。结果表明:近45a来锡林河流域年径流量呈显著下降的趋势,在1979、1986和1998年发生突变。1980-1986年人类活动对径流减少的贡献率为46.57%;1987-1998年人类活动对径流增加的贡献率高达91.46%,气候变化的贡献率仅为8.54%;1999-2014年人类活动对径流减少的贡献率为66.16%。整体而言,人类活动是锡林河流域径流变化的主要驱动力。
英文摘要: Analysis of the main driven factors which caused runoff variations can provide significant information for water resources and ecology researches. Based on the runoff and meteorological data with series from 1970 to 2014 of a typical steppe watershed Xilin River,Mann-Kendall and Elastic Coefficient Method were used to quantify the contribution of climate change and human activities on runoff changes. The results indicated that the annual runoff present a significant decrease trend during recent 45 years,and occurred mutations in the years of 1979,1986 and 1998,respectively. For the period of 1980 to 1986,the contribution rate of human activities accounted for 46.57%,which reached 91.46% for the period of 1987 to 1998 and climate change just had a percent of 8.54%. For the period of 1999 to 2014,66.16% of the runoff variation was caused by human activities. In brief,human activity is the main driven factors which induced runoff changes.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/152502
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 内蒙古农业大学水利与土木建筑工程学院, 内蒙古自治区水资源保护与利用重点实验室, 呼和浩特, 内蒙古 010018, 中国

Recommended Citation:
段利民,李玮,刘廷玺,等. 半干旱草原型流域径流变化特征及其影响因子定量分析[J]. 干旱区资源与环境,2017-01-01,31(10):341-346
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