globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6006234
论文题名:
甲烷浓度变化的有效辐射强迫及其对气候的影响
其他题名: A Modeling Study of Effective Radiative Forcing and Climate Response Due to the Change in Methane Concentration
作者: 谢冰1; 张华2; 杨冬冬3
刊名: 气候变化研究进展
ISSN: 1673-1719
出版年: 2017
卷: 13, 期:1, 页码:375-382
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 甲烷 ; 有效辐射强迫 ; 气候变化
英文关键词: methane ; effective radiative forcing ; climate change
WOS学科分类: ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
中文摘要: 利用国家气候中心大气环流模式BCC_AGCM2.0,结合IPCC第五次评估报告给出的最新有效辐射强迫的概念,模拟了自工业革命以来由于人类活动造成的甲烷浓度增加引起的有效辐射强迫及其气候效应。得出如下结论:甲烷浓度增加造成的有效辐射强迫的全球平均值为0.49 W/m~2;导致全球平均地表温度上升0.31 ℃,升温主要分布在南北半球中高纬度地区;全球平均降水量增加0.02 mm/d,赤道辐合带降水中心有向北移动的趋势;地表水汽通量的变化使高纬度地区云量增加(约4%),而中低纬度地区云量减小(约-3%)。
英文摘要: A General Circulation Model, BCC_AGCM2.0 from National Climate Center of China, was used in this work. And the effective radiative forcing (ERF), newly defined by IPCC AR5, was adopted in discussing the radiative forcing and climate response for methane. The ERF due to the change in methane concentration from pre-industrial was 0.49 W/m~2. Because of the change in methane concentration, the global annual mean surface temperature increased by 0.31℃, and precipitation increased by 0.02 mm per day. And there were remarkable increases (by approximately 4%) in the cloud cover in high latitudes of both Northern and Southern Hemisphere, and the cloud cover decreased (by approximately -3%) sharply in tropical areas.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/152788
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.兰州大学大气科学学院, 半干旱气候变化教育部重点实验室, 兰州, 甘肃 730000, 中国
2.中国气象局国家气候中心, 中国气象局气候研究开放实验室, 北京 100081, 中国
3.南京信息工程大学大气科学学院, 南京, 江苏 210044, 中国

Recommended Citation:
谢冰,张华,杨冬冬. 甲烷浓度变化的有效辐射强迫及其对气候的影响[J]. 气候变化研究进展,2017-01-01,13(1):375-382
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