globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6036024
论文题名:
基于生态水文模型的无定河流域径流变化归因
其他题名: Attribution of discharge changes over Wuding River watershed using a distributed eco-hydrological model
作者: 焦阳; 雷慧闽; 杨大文; 杨汉波
刊名: 水力发电学报
ISSN: 1003-1243
出版年: 2017
卷: 36, 期:7, 页码:418-429
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 径流变化 ; 归因分析 ; 无定河流域 ; 生态水文模型 ; 植被生长
英文关键词: discharge change ; attribution analysis ; Wuding River watershed ; eco-hydrological model ; vegetation growth
WOS学科分类: ENGINEERING MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Engineering
中文摘要: 受到黄土高原气候变化和人类活动等因素影响,黄河流域中游河道径流在过去50年间有显著的下降趋势。此前的径流变化归因方法,未考虑气候变化通过影响植被生长进而对径流的间接影响。本文选择了位于黄土高原的无定河流域为研究区域,基于新发展的分布式生态水文模型CLM-GBHM,分别采用静态与动态植被两种模式模拟了19612012年的流域水文过程。径流变化归因分析结果显示,19722000年相对19611971年,单纯气候变化对径流减少的贡献为79.8%,而气候变化和植被生长共同贡献率降低为74.6%;20012012年相对19722000年,植被生长减小了单纯气候变化所导致的径流增加趋势,人类活动是对应时段径流减少的主导因素。这表明该流域植被生长对水文过程有较强的调节作用。
英文摘要: During the past five decades, a significant decrease occurred in the river discharge of the middle Yellow River main stream mainly because of climate changes and human activities in the Loess Plateau. Previous studies on the attribution of river discharge changes usually focused on the lumped effects of climate changes and vegetation growth on hydrological processes, neglecting the contribution by the vegetation growth caused by climate changes. This paper analyzed the variation trends of several ecohydrological variables through a case study of the Wuding River watershed. Two types of simulations, assuming static and dynamic modes of vegetation changes separately, were carried out during the period 1961-2012 using a newly developed physically-based eco-hydrological model, CLM-GBHM. Results show that relative to the 1961-1971 discharge, 79.8% of the decrease in the 1972-2000 discharge was contributed by climate change itself while 74.6% by climate change and vegetation growth. And relative to 1972-2000, vegetation growth over 2001-2012 reduced the increasing trend in river discharge that would be produced directly by climate change, thereby leaving human activities as the major factor in the discharge reduction. All this shows a buffer effect of vegetation growth in the Wuding River watershed.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/153150
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 清华大学, 水沙科学与水利水电国家重点实验室, 北京 100084, 中国

Recommended Citation:
焦阳,雷慧闽,杨大文,等. 基于生态水文模型的无定河流域径流变化归因[J]. 水力发电学报,2017-01-01,36(7):418-429
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