globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6326382
论文题名:
基于模糊定权的模糊可信性约束二次规划模型
其他题名: Fuzzy credibility-constrained quadratic programming model based on fuzzy weighted weights
作者: 王友芝; 郭萍; 郭珊珊; 刘潇
刊名: 排灌机械工程学报
ISSN: 1674-8530
出版年: 2018
卷: 36, 期:9, 页码:61-70
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 不确定水量优化 ; 水分生产函数 ; 气候变化 ; 模糊可信性约束 ; 相对优属度
英文关键词: uncertain water allocation optimization ; water production function ; climate change ; fuzzy credibility constraint ; the relative membership degree
WOS学科分类: AGRICULTURAL ENGINEERING
WOS研究方向: Agriculture
中文摘要: 为了最大化黑河中游作物产生的经济效益和社会效益,采用模糊定权的方法将多目标效益转化为作物的综合效益权重,并将该权重应用于作物的水分生产函数中,对甘州区、临泽县和高台县的作物(小麦和玉米)进行水量优化配置.该模型为模糊可信性约束二次规划模型,模糊可信性约束中采用三角模糊数,可信性置信水平分别取0.5,0.6,0.7,0.8,0.9和1.0.以2011年的水量优化为例,优化后较优化前作物的配水量减少了3 701.25万m~3,产量增加了1 291.28万kg,经济效益和社会效益分别提升了0.28亿元和0.18万人.另外,规划年2020年作物水量配置较现状年(2011年)的小麦和玉米的配水量分别减少了4.98% ~ 5.24%和11.01% ~ 12.07%,缺水情况得到改善.不同条件下的配水结果能够给决策者提供不同的方案.
英文摘要: In order to maximize economic and social benefits of crop production in the Heihe middle reach,the water allocations for crops (wheat and maize) in Ganzhou District,Linze County and Gaotai County were optimized. In the optimization,the fuzzy weighted weights method was adopted to transform the multi-objective into a comprehensive benefit weight of crop,and then the weight was applied to the crop water production function. A quadratic programming model of fuzzy credibility-constrained constraint,where the triangular fuzzy number was used,was employed. In addition,the confidence levels of credibility were 0.5,0.6,0.7,0.8,0.9 and 1.0,respectively. Taking the water allocations for crops in year 2011 as an example,the water allocation in different areas are decreased by 3.7 * 10~7 m~3 and the crop yield increases by 1.3 * 10~7 kg,especially,the economic and social benefits are improved by 280 million Yuan and 1 800 people after optimization. Further,in planning year 2020,the water allocations of wheat and maize will be decreased by 4.98%-5.24% and 11.01%-12.07%,respectively,as compared with the status quo of year 2011,thus the water deficit situation can be improved,but still in a state of water shortage. These water allocations under various conditions can provide different scenarios for decision makers.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/154466
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 中国农业大学水利与土木工程学院, 北京 100083, 中国

Recommended Citation:
王友芝,郭萍,郭珊珊,等. 基于模糊定权的模糊可信性约束二次规划模型[J]. 排灌机械工程学报,2018-01-01,36(9):61-70
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