globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6293123
论文题名:
分位数映射法在RegCM4中国气温模拟订正中的应用
其他题名: Correction based on quantile mapping for temperature simulated by the RegCM4
作者: 韩振宇1; 童尧2; 高学杰3; 徐影1
刊名: 气候变化研究进展
ISSN: 1673-1719
出版年: 2018
卷: 14, 期:4, 页码:621-624
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 分位数映射 ; 误差订正 ; 区域气候模式 ; 气温
英文关键词: Quantile mapping ; Bias correction ; Regional climate model ; Temperature
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 将一种分位数映射法RQUANT,应用到一个区域气候模式(RegCM4)所模拟中国气温的误差订正中。从气候平均态、年际变率、极端气候及农业气候等多方面,评估了该方法对日平均气温、日最高气温和日最低气温模拟的订正效果。结果表明,该订正方法对模式模拟的日平均、日最高和最低气温气候平均态的订正效果都非常明显,中国大部分地区的订正结果与观测的偏差在0.5℃之间。在降低极端气温指数和农业气候相关指数的模拟误差方面也有显著的效果,但对气温年际变率的订正效果有限。结合以往对降水订正的评估分析,该方法对模式模拟结果有较好的订正效果,可以应用于区域气候模式的气候变化模拟预估中,为气候变化及相关影响评估研究提供更适用和可靠的数据。
英文摘要: A quantile mapping method called RQUANT was applied to the bias correction on the temperature (including daily mean temperature, daily maximum temperature, and daily minimum temperature) simulation of a regional climate model (RegCM4). Assessment on the correction effect was carried out, focusing on the simulation of climatological mean, interannual variation, extreme temperature, and agro-climatic conditions. Results show that this correction method is capable of improving the simulation of mean state of temperature. The biases of the correction results on mean temperature are within 0.5℃. It can also significantly improve the simulation of both extreme temperature and agro-climatic conditions. However, it has little correction effect on interannual variation. Considering the good performance of this method on correcting precipitation simulation in previous study, it implies that the RQUANT method can be used on climate change projection simulations, and these bias corrected simulations would be more useful and reliable for climate change and climate change impact studies.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/154491
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.中国气象局国家气候中心, 北京 100081, 中国
2.中国气象局国家气候中心
3.盖州市气象局,
4.,
5.盖州, 北京
6.100081
7.115200, 中国
8.中国科学院大气物理研究所气候变化研究中心
9.中国科学院大学,
10.,
11., 北京
12.北京 100029
13.100049, 中国

Recommended Citation:
韩振宇,童尧,高学杰,等. 分位数映射法在RegCM4中国气温模拟订正中的应用[J]. 气候变化研究进展,2018-01-01,14(4):621-624
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