globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6388149
论文题名:
气候变化及人类活动对黑河流域径流演变影响分析
其他题名: Impacts of Climate Change and Anthropogenic Activities on Runoff in the Heihe River Basin
作者: 司源1; 尹冬勤2; 侯胜林3; 陈雪3; 李想4; 黄跃飞2; 魏加华2
刊名: 应用基础与工程科学学报
ISSN: 1005-0930
出版年: 2018
卷: 26, 期:6, 页码:713-722
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 黑河流域 ; 径流 ; 气候变化 ; 人类活动 ; 水热耦合平衡
英文关键词: Heihe River Basin ; runoff ; climate change ; anthropogenic activities ; coupled water-energy balance
WOS学科分类: GEOSCIENCES MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Geology
中文摘要: 自2001年起,黑河流域开始实施治理工程,旨在通过落实分水方案和开展生态修复措施以实现社会经济与生态系统协调发展.本文以治理工程实施为结点划分两阶段展开对比研究,采用基于Budyko假设的水热耦合平衡方法定量计算了工程实施前后气候变化及人类活动对黑河流域径流演变的影响.结果表明,下游狼心山站径流在工程实施前后分别呈-0.14mm/a的减少趋势和+0.37mm/a的增加趋势;工程实施前,狼心山径流减少主要归因于中游地区人类活动,引起径流减少-0.26mm/a,气候变化虽引起径流增加但仅为+0.12mm/a;工程实施后,狼心山径流增加主要归因于气候变化,引起径流增加+0.29mm/a,人类活动对径流的影响由负转正,引起径流增加+0.08mm/a;对比工程实施前,工程实施后狼心山多年平均径流量增加了1.97mm,气候变化引起多年平均径流量增加1.39mm,其中降水和潜在蒸散发分别引起多年平均径流量增加2.20mm和减少0.81mm,人类活动引起多年平均径流量增加0.58mm,表明治理工程发挥了积极的影响.
英文摘要: Since 2001,the Environmental Conservation Program(ECP) has been launched in the Heihe River Basin,aiming at reallocating water resources and implementing ecological restoration measures to balance socio-economic development and ecological system maintenance.In this paper,we divided the historical period in the Heihe River Basin into two periods(i.e.before and after the ECP),and quantified the contributions of climate change and anthropogenic activities to runoff variations based on the Budyko coupled water-energy balance equations.Results indicate:runoff at the Langxinshan station presents a decreasing trend with -0.14mm/a before the ECP and an increasing trend with +0.37mm/a after the ECP.Before the ECP,the decrease in runoff at the Langxinshan station is mainly due to anthropogenic activities in the middle basin,the contribution of which are -0.26mm/a;whereas climate change causes the runoff to increase,the contribution of which is only +0.12mm/a.After the ECP,the increase in runoff at the Langxinshan station is mainly due to climate change,the contribution of which is +0.29mm/a;whereas the impacts of anthropogenic activities on runoff are from negative to positive,the contribution of which are +0.08mm/a.The annual average runoff at the Langxinshan station after the ECP increases by 1.97mm in comparison with that before the ECP.Climate change contributes +1.39mm for the increase(of which the contribution of precipitation is +2.20mm and that of potential evapotranspiration is -0.81mm);whereas anthropogenic activities contribute +0.58mm for the increase,indicating that the ECP has been playing a positive role.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/155028
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.清华大学
2.中国水利水电科学研究院, 水沙科学与水利水电工程国家重点实验室
3.流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室,
4., 北京
5.北京 100084
6.100038, 中国
7.清华大学
8.青海大学, 水沙科学与水利水电工程国家重点实验室
9.三江源生态与高原农牧业国家重点实验室,
10.西宁, 北京
11.青海 100084
12.810016, 中国
13.国网青海省电力公司, 西宁, 青海 810008, 中国
14.中国水利水电科学研究院, 流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室, 北京 100038, 中国

Recommended Citation:
司源,尹冬勤,侯胜林,等. 气候变化及人类活动对黑河流域径流演变影响分析[J]. 应用基础与工程科学学报,2018-01-01,26(6):713-722
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