globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6233983
论文题名:
枯水期非一致性最低通航水位的综合历时曲线设计法
其他题名: Synthetic duration curve method for the design of the lowest navigable water level with inconsistent characters in dry seasons
作者: 赵江艳1; 谢平2; 桑燕芳3; 徐强强4; 吴子怡1
刊名: 应用生态学报
ISSN: 1001-9332
出版年: 2018
卷: 29, 期:4, 页码:7174-7182
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 水文分析与计算 ; 最低通航水位 ; 非一致性 ; 枯水期 ; 综合历时曲线法 ; 二阶矩变异
英文关键词: hydrological analysis and calculation ; lowest navigable water level ; inconsistency ; dry seasons ; synthetic duration curve design method ; second-moment variability
WOS学科分类: TRANSPORTATION
WOS研究方向: Transportation
中文摘要: 全球气候变化和频繁人类活动导致水文序列的二阶矩变异现象日益凸显,样本的 一致性内涵发生了变化,只考虑均值一阶矩变异的非一致性水文序列分析方法不再适用于所有的非一致性问题,基于样本一致性的传统最低通航水位综合历时曲线设计方法给枯水期低水位下的船舶通航带来了更大的安全隐患,使得最低通航水位更加不能满足航运设计需求.本文运用水文变异诊断系统分别检验水文序列的均值和方差二阶矩变异,在此基础上,结合时间序列的分解合成原理,提出枯水期非一致性最低通航水位综合历时曲线设计法.并以澜沧江流域的允景洪站为计算实例,比较分析现状与过去远期、过去近期不同时期的设计水位值,以及考虑二阶矩变异、仅考虑均值变异、未考虑变异3种不同情况下的设计水位值.结果表明:方差变异成分改变了允景洪站设计水位值的变化趋势,并且与仅考虑均值变异的设计水位值的差值低至-1.11 m,与未考虑变异的设计水位值的差值低至-1.01 m,从而揭示了方差变异对设计水位的影响以及二阶矩变异分析在航道规划设计中的重要意义.
英文摘要: Under the influence of both global climate change and frequent human activities,the variability of second-moment in hydrological time series become obvious,indicating changes in the consistency of hydrological data samples. Therefore,the traditional hydrological series analysis methods,which only consider the variability of mean values,are not suitable for handling all hydrological non-consistency problems. Traditional synthetic duration curve methods for the design of the lowest navigable water level,based on the consistency of samples,would cause more risks to navigation,especially under low water level in dry seasons. Here,we detected both mean variation and variance variation using the hydrological variation diagnosis system. Furthermore,combing the principle of decomposition and composition of time series,we proposed the synthetic duration curve method for designing the lowest navigable water level with inconsistent characters in dry seasons. With the Yunjinghong Station in the Lancang River Basin as an example,we analyzed its designed water levels in the present,the distant past and the recent past,as well as the differences among three situations (i.e.,considering second moment variation,only considering mean variation,not considering any variation). Results showed that variability of the second moment changed the trend of designed water levels alteration in the Yunjinghong Station. When considering the first two moments or just considering the mean variation,the difference of designed water levels was as bigger as -1.11 m. When considering the first two moments or not,the difference of designed water levels was as bigger as -1.01 m. Our results indicated the strong effects of variance variation on the designed water levels,and highlighted the importance of the second moment variation analysis for the channel planning and design.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/155051
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.武汉大学, 水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室, 武汉, 湖北 430072, 中国
2.武汉大学
3.国家领土主权与海洋权益协同创新中心, 水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室
4.国家领土主权与海洋权益协同创新中心, 武汉
5.武汉,
6.430072
7.430072
8.中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, 中国科学院陆地水循环及地表过程重点实验室, 北京 100101, 中国
9.汉江水利水电(集团)有限责任公司水库调度中心, 武汉, 湖北 430048, 中国

Recommended Citation:
赵江艳,谢平,桑燕芳,等. 枯水期非一致性最低通航水位的综合历时曲线设计法[J]. 应用生态学报,2018-01-01,29(4):7174-7182
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[赵江艳]'s Articles
[谢平]'s Articles
[桑燕芳]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[赵江艳]'s Articles
[谢平]'s Articles
[桑燕芳]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[赵江艳]‘s Articles
[谢平]‘s Articles
[桑燕芳]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.