globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6330773
论文题名:
生育期气候变化对我国水稻主产区单产的影响基于扩展C-D生产函数的实证分析
其他题名: Study on the impact of climate change during rice's growing seasons on rice yield in main region:An empirical analysis based on the extended C-D production function
作者: 尹朝静1; 李谷成2; 范丽霞3; 高雪2
刊名: 中国农业大学学报
ISSN: 1007-4333
出版年: 2018
卷: 23, 期:10, 页码:750-770
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 水稻 ; 气候变化 ; 单产 ; C-D生产函数
英文关键词: rice ; climate change ; yield ; C-D production function
WOS学科分类: AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS POLICY
WOS研究方向: Agriculture
中文摘要: 基于扩展的C-D生产函数模型,利用1984-2014年15个省份的水稻投入产出及气象数据,探讨了生育期气候变化对水稻单产的影响,并系统考察了气候因素对水稻单产的非线性及区域差异性影响程度。结果表明:一方面,水稻生育期降水增加对水稻单产具有负向影响,但其对不同地区的具体影响有所不同。同时,降水变化的二次项对水稻单产具有显著的负向影响。从各区域来看,水稻全生育期降水增加对西南地区水稻单产的边际影响为正,而对东北地区、华东地区、华中地区以及华南地区水稻单产的边际影响为负。另一方面,水稻全生育期内气温升高对水稻单产具有负向影响,且气温变化与水稻单产之间存在明显的倒U型关系。从各区域来看,气温升高对华东地区、华中地区、华南地区以及西南地区水稻单产的边际影响为负,而对东北地区水稻单产的边际影响为正。
英文摘要: By establishing an extended C-D production function model and using the rice production and meteorological data of China's 15 rice-producing provinces from 1984 to 2014,an empirical analysis of the influence of climate change in rice's growing seasons on rice production was conducted and the nonlinear and regional difference of climate factors' effects was observed.The results showed that increasing precipitation had a significantly negative impact on rice yield. However,the impacts on different regions were different.Meanwhile,quadratic precipitation had a significantly negative impact on rice yield.On the whole,the precipitation had a negative impact on the northeast,eastern,central and southern regions of China,while had a positive impact on the southwest region.Besides,rising temperature had a significantly negative impact on rice yield and there existed aUshape relationship between temperature change and rice yield.On the whole,the temperature had a negative impact on the eastern,central,southern and southwest regions of China,while had a positive impact on the northeast region.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/155269
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.西南大学经济管理学院
2.西南大学农村经济与管理研究中心,
3.,
4., 重庆
5.重庆 400715
6.400715, 中国
7.华中农业大学经济管理学院, 武汉, 湖北 430070, 中国
8.武汉轻工大学经济与管理学院, 武汉, 湖北 430023, 中国

Recommended Citation:
尹朝静,李谷成,范丽霞,等. 生育期气候变化对我国水稻主产区单产的影响基于扩展C-D生产函数的实证分析[J]. 中国农业大学学报,2018-01-01,23(10):750-770
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[尹朝静]'s Articles
[李谷成]'s Articles
[范丽霞]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[尹朝静]'s Articles
[李谷成]'s Articles
[范丽霞]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[尹朝静]‘s Articles
[李谷成]‘s Articles
[范丽霞]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.