globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6519658
论文题名:
气候变化背景下甘肃省主要气象灾害综合损失特征
其他题名: Change characteristics of meteorological disaster losses under climatic change in Gansu province
作者: 韩兰英1; 张强2; 杨阳3; 贾建英4; 张玲5
刊名: 干旱区资源与环境
ISSN: 1003-7578
出版年: 2019
卷: 33, 期:7, 页码:8397-8410
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 农业气象灾害 ; 综合损失 ; 时空变化 ; 气候变化
英文关键词: agricultural meteorological disaster ; comprehensive loss ; spatial-temporal change ; climate change
WOS学科分类: AGRICULTURE MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向: Agriculture
中文摘要: 甘肃省气候类型复杂,气象灾害种类繁多,随着以变暖为主的气候变化的背景下,气象灾害造成的损失越来越大,灾害风险特征的认识及其对气候变化的响应亟待解决。鉴于此,本研究基于甘肃省1961以来主要气象站灾情实况资料,构建灾害风险指数-综合损失率,系统分析了甘肃省干旱、暴雨洪涝、风雹和低温灾害的时空变化特征,并就气候变化对其的影响做了探讨。结果表明: 1961年以来,各种灾害风险发展具有面积增大和危害程度加剧的趋势。干旱是风险最大和最严重的灾害类型,其次是风雹和暴雨洪涝,低温冷害风险相对最小,其中干旱受灾、成灾和绝收率( 25.2%、14.1%和2.2%)均明显高于全国平均水平( 15.0%、8.1%和1.7%),增加速率( 0.16% /10a、0.15% /10a和0.05% /10a)也均高于全国平均水平。风雹、暴雨洪涝灾害和低温冷害增加速率分别为0.29% /10a、0.45% /10和0.72% /10a。各年代际灾害风险变化特征具有明显的差异性。气候变化后,甘肃主要气象灾害风险均增加。
英文摘要: The climate in Gansu province is complex. There are many different kinds of meteorological disasters, as is given priority to the warming under the background of climate change,The losses caused by meteorological disasters are more and more large,the understanding of the characteristics of disaster risk and their response to climate change are needed. Based on the main weather disaster data of Gansu province in 1961,comprehensive disaster risk index-loss rates were established to analyze systematically the variation characteristics of drought, rainstorm floods,sand storm and low-temperature disasters in Gansu province,and the impact of climate change on those disasters was discussed. Results show that since 1961,the largest agricultural drought disaster risk was drought,followed by sand storms and floods; low temperature chilling injury risk was relatively the minimum. Among them,drought induced disaster suffering,disaster realizing and absolute yield lost rates ( 25.2%, 14.1% and 2.2%) were significantly higher than the national average ( 15.0%,8.1% and 1.7%),and the increase rates ( 0.16% /10a,0.15% /10a and 0.05% /10a) were also higher than the national average. The comprehensive loss rate of storm hail,rainstorm flood and low temperature cold damage also showed an increasing trend,with an increase rates of 0.29% /10a,0.45% /10 and 0.72% /10a respectively. The variation characteristics of interdecadal disaster risk had obvious differences,and the risk of drought disaster increased uniformly. The risks of major meteorological disasters in Gansu increased due to the climate change.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/155739
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.西北区域气候中心
2.中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所,
3.甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室
4.中国气象局干旱气候变化与减灾重点开放实验室, 兰州
5.兰州,
6.730020
7.730020
8.中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所
9.甘肃省气象局, 甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室
10.中国气象局干旱气候变化与减灾重点开放实验室
11., 兰州
12.兰州,
13.730020
14.730000
15.南京信息工程大学, 南京, 江苏 210040, 中国
16.西北区域气候中心, 兰州, 甘肃 730020, 中国
17.甘肃省气象信息与技术装备保障中心, 兰州, 甘肃 730020, 中国

Recommended Citation:
韩兰英,张强,杨阳,等. 气候变化背景下甘肃省主要气象灾害综合损失特征[J]. 干旱区资源与环境,2019-01-01,33(7):8397-8410
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