Studying the northern limit of winter wheat in the past, present and future in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain may provide theoretical basis and technical support to mitigate climate change on winter wheat cultivation in the sensitive zone in the North China. Daily meteorological data during 1961-2017 at 94 climatic stations in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain and the projected temperature during 2011-2100 generated by the Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM4.2) and the second generation of Canadian Earth System Model (CanESM2) in representative concentration paths RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios were used in this study. Five climatic indicators, the coldest monthly mean temperature (≥-8 ℃), the extreme minimum temperature (≥-24 ℃), the accumulated temperature before overwintering (≥400 ℃), the negative accumulated temperature during overwintering (≥-450 ℃), and the accumulated temperature during the whole growth period of winter wheat(≥1 700 ℃), were used to evaluate the probabilities of winter wheat planting in different decades and the change of northern limit of winter wheat at 80% guarantee level in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain from 1961 to 2100. Main results were listed as following: during 1961-1970, the northern limit of winter wheat in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain was mainly distributed in the area of Tianjin-Bazhou-Baoding- Shijiazhuang-Xingtai-Linfen; during 1971-1980, it moved northwards by 65 km in Hebei province and 40 km in Shanxi province, respectively. Compared with 1971-1980, northern limit during 1981-1990 changed a little, it moved slightly southwards near Tangshan in Hebei province and northwards near Yuncheng in Shanxi province. Compared with 1981-1990, the northern limit during 1991-2000 showed a significant change, especially in Shanxi province, it gradually became a smooth parabola from a sine curve. After that, it just moved northward slightly during 2001-2010, then compared with 2001-2010, it showed a trend of moving southward during 2011-2017. Under RCP4.5 scenario, the spatial distribution of probabilities of winter wheat planting during 2011-2040, 2041-2070, 2071-2100 in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain and its surrounding areas were very similar, which decreased gradually from southeast to northwest, and the boundaries of interdecadal probabilities moved to northwest as time went on. The northern limit of winter wheat at 80% guarantee level mainly distributed in the area of Laoting-Tangshan- Beijing-Baoding-Shijiazhuang-Xingtai-Yushe-Linfen during 2011-2040.