globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6439218
论文题名:
协同视角下的北京市水资源系统可持续性评价
其他题名: Sustainability evaluation of water resource system in Beijing City from a synergized perspective
作者: 李玉龙1; 韦雅尹1; 李桂君1; 王文涛2; 白振龙1
刊名: 中国人口·资源与环境
ISSN: 1002-2104
出版年: 2019
卷: 29, 期:3, 页码:980-990
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 协同 ; 水资源系统 ; 可持续 ; 评价
英文关键词: synergy ; water resource system ; sustainability ; evaluation
WOS学科分类: ECONOMICS
WOS研究方向: Business & Economics
中文摘要: 基于系统协同视角,选择可度量的特征指标构建特征向量描述水资源系统序参量的变化,并应用空间向量的关联度计算方法,提出了水资源系统序参量在时间序列上的协同度计算模型。计算过程中所有序参量进行了正向处理,序参量之间的整体协同度越高,系统的可持续性也就越好。在此基础上,应用社会网络分析方法,基于协同阈值的设置,以各序参量之间的协同度作为权重构建水资源系统的协同网络,并从社会网络结构的角度考察水资源系统的动态演进。应用上述分析框架,对北京市的水资源系统进行了实证研究。结果显示:①北京市自然水系统与其他各子系统一直处于高度协同的发展状态,并对整体协同起到调节作用。②在2008 2016年期间,2011 2012年北京市水资源系统变化的整体协同度最好,水资源系统序参量的直接联系和间接联系都很紧密。其中水利基础设施子系统的整体协同贡献突出,表明水利基础设施建成投入运营对于促进水资源系统的协同发展具有重要意义。③与水利基础设施建成对系统协同的贡献作用正好相反,水利建设投资子系统对水资源系统变化的协同贡献程度比较低,表明提升水利建设投资的效率非常重要。④生产生活供应和从业人员子系统在水资源协同网络中具有较高的网络中心性,这些子系统人为控制度高,应该加强这些子系统的优化,通过调整序参量的变化,促进其对水资源系统的整体协同作用。
英文摘要: It is of great significance to comprehensively understand the structure of the water resource system and the relationships among the elements of the system. It contributes to a more resilient water resource system and ensures the system ' s well-functioning when facing adverse natural environmental impacts such as climate change. From a system synergized perspective, this paper established the eigenvector using measurable characteristic indicators,and depicted the order parameter variations of the water resource system. This paper also proposed the calculation model of the time series synergy for the order parameters based on the correlation calculation method of the space vector. All the order parameters were processed positively to explain the positive correlation between synergy degree and sustainability, and a higher synergy degree among all the order parameters or subsystems indicated a more sustainable water resource system. Based on the efforts, this paper established the synergized network of the water resource system using social network analysis method and considering the synergy degree between order parameters as the weight coefficient. The dynamic evolution of the water resources system from the perspective of social network structure was also investigated. Using the above analytical framework, this paper empirically investigated water resource system in Beijing from 2009 to 2016. The results showed that: ①The synergy effect between natural water resource system and other subsystems was significant in Beijing, and the natural water resource system dominated in the synergy of the integrated network.② The network-wide synergy of Beijing water resource system performed the best in 2011 -2012, and both the direct and the indirect links of the order parameters were tight. Particularly, the water infrastructure subsystem played a significant role in the network-wide synergy, indicating the contribution of water infrastructure construction and operation to the synergized development of the water resource system.③Opposite to the effect of water infrastructure construction and operation,the contribution of the investment into water infrastructure to network-wide synergy was relatively low. It is necessary to enhance the efficiency of water infrastructure investment.④The subsystems of production and living supply, as well as practitioner also played important roles in promoting network-wide synergy of water resource system, and could be artificially managed. So it is feasible and necessary to optimize these subsystems by adjusting their order parameters to a better position.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/156374
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.中央财经大学管理科学与工程学院, 北京 100081, 中国
2.中国21世纪议程管理中心, 北京 100038, 中国

Recommended Citation:
李玉龙,韦雅尹,李桂君,等. 协同视角下的北京市水资源系统可持续性评价[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境,2019-01-01,29(3):980-990
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