Based on monthly data of the mean temperature and precipitation during 1961-2008from the Xingren Meteorological Station in Zhongwei City,Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region,the climate potential productivity and its changes were calculated by using the Miami model and Thornthwaite Memorial model.The results indicated that:(1)The average temperature clearly tended to increase,and the precipitation fluctuated significantly and tended to decrease,which showed that the climate type becoming warm and dry.(2)The temperature potential productivity increased year by year while the precipitation potential productivity and climate potential productivity decreased with fluctuation.(3)The precipitation was highly linearly related to climate potential productivity,but average temperature had no obvious linear correlation to climate potential productivity.The average temperature potential productivity was 2.79and 2.35times of that of the precipitation and climate,which indicated that precipitation was the key factor that restricted the climate potential productivity around Xiangshan Mountain.(4)Through scenario analysis of future climate changes,it is found to be warm-dry-type climate as a whole,which is unfavorable for agricultural production around Xiangshan Mountain.Thus,the technology of water-saving agriculture should be rapidly developed to ensure the agricultural production.