globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5185992
论文题名:
基于相对湿润度指数的西南春季干旱10年际演变特征
其他题名: Decadal variations of spring drought based on relative moisture index in southwest of China
作者: 姚玉璧1; 王劲松1; 尚军林2; 韩兰英3; 石界2
刊名: 生态环境学报
ISSN: 1674-5906
出版年: 2014
卷: 23, 期:4, 页码:547-554
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 春季干旱 ; 空间分布 ; 10年际演变 ; 中国西南
英文关键词: spring drought ; spatial distribution ; 10a decadal variations ; southwest China
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 基于相对湿润度的干旱指数分析方法,应用中国西南19582012年气候资料,分析近55年中国西南春季干旱10年际时空分布和演变特征。结果表明:19582012年西南春季干旱发生频率呈东北向西南递增分布特征,春季干旱发生频率80%以上区域分布于云南高原、川西高原和川西南山地区域;川西高原和川西南山地的部分区域几乎每年春季均会出现轻度干旱。重旱和特旱主要分布于川西高原南部、川西南山地和云南高原北部区域。西南春季轻旱、中旱和重旱以上干旱平均发生区域占研究区域总面积分别为42%~45%、16%~29%和1%~8%,春季轻旱发生面积呈波动变化,中旱和重旱发生面积呈略减少趋势。云南高原、川西高原和川西南山地春季干旱强度大,但干旱强度振荡幅度小,年际波动小;川东盆地、贵州高原春季干旱强度虽然相对较小,但干旱强度振荡幅度大,年际波动大。西南春季干旱变化经历了5个明显的变化阶段,即20世纪60年代,干旱强度逐渐增强;70年代,干旱强度逐渐减弱;80年代到90年代初,干旱强度又一次加强;在90年代中期到2004年,干旱强度再次减弱。西南春季干旱指数存在显著的2~3a和7~8a周期振荡,春季轻旱发生面积呈波动变化,中旱和重旱发生面积呈略减少趋势。2005年后干旱指数累积距平呈负增长趋势,干旱强度逐渐增强,预计未来10年干旱强度可能将增强。
英文摘要: Drought index analytical method which was based on relative moisture index was used to study the decadal variation characteristics of temporal-spatial distribution of spring drought in recent 55 years in southwest China according to southwest China's climatological information between 1958 and 2012. The result showed that the frequency of spring drought in southwest China had a distribution character of progressively increase from northeast to southwest, regions where have more than 80% of the emergence frequency of spring drought are distributed on Yunnan Plateau, Chuanxi Plateau and southwest mountainous areas of Sichuan, on Chuanxi Plateau and some part of southwest mountainous areas of Sichuan, low-grade drought appears almost every spring. Severe drought and extreme drought are more likely to appear on south part of Chuanxi Plateau, southwest mountainous areas of Sichuan and north regions of Yunnan Plateau. The average area where low-grade drought, medium-grade drought and heavy drought in southwest spring appeared take over 42%~45%、16%~29%和1%~8% of the total research area respectively. The appearance area of low-grade spring drought has a character of fluctuating change, while medium-grade drought and heavy drought had decreasing trends on their appearance areas. The intensity of spring droughts are higher in Yunnan Plateau, Chuanxi Plateau and southwest mountainous regions of Sichuan, but the oscillation amplitude in these regions are small and the interannual fluctuations are small too. The spring drought intensity in Chuandong Basin and Guizhou Plateau are relatively smaller, but the oscillation amplitude in these regions are greater as well as the interannual fluctuations. The spring drought in southwest had gone through five obvious varying stages, that is, in 60s of twentieth century the drought intensity gradually enhanced; in 70s the drought intensity gradually weakened; in 80s and the beginning of 90s, drought intensity enhanced again; from the middle of 90s till 2004, the drought intensity weakened again. The index of southwest spring drought had an obvious 2~3a and 7~8a periodical oscillation. Low-grade spring drought occurred in a fluctuation way, for severe and extreme drought, their occurred areas had a receded trend. After the year 2005, drought index cumulative departurehad a negative growth trend and drought intensity enhanced gradually.It is predicted that next decade drought intensity will be enhanced.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/156648
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所, 甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室
2.中国气象局干旱气候变化与减灾重点开放实验室, 兰州, 甘肃 730020, 中国
3.甘肃省定西市气象局, 定西, 甘肃 743000, 中国
4.西北区域气候中心, 兰州, 甘肃 730020, 中国

Recommended Citation:
姚玉璧,王劲松,尚军林,等. 基于相对湿润度指数的西南春季干旱10年际演变特征[J]. 生态环境学报,2014-01-01,23(4):547-554
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