globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5490913
论文题名:
基于干旱指数的宁夏干旱时空变化特征及其Morlet小波分析
其他题名: Temporal and spatial variations of the drought in Ningxia based on aridity index and Morlet wavelet analysis
作者: 张彦龙; 刘普幸; 王允
刊名: 生态学杂志
ISSN: 1000-4890
出版年: 2015
卷: 34, 期:8, 页码:2373-2380
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 干旱指数 ; 潜在蒸散量 ; 滑动t检验 ; 小波分析
英文关键词: aridity index ; evapotranspiration ; moving t-test ; Morlet wavelet analysis
WOS学科分类: ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
中文摘要: 基于宁夏9个气象站点19612012年逐日气温、降水、风速、日照时数和相对湿度数据,应用Penman-Monteith模型、ArcGIS反距离加权插值、突变检验和Morlet小波等方法,分析其参考作物蒸散量、降水量和干旱指数(AI)时空变化及其影响因素。结果表明:近52年来,宁夏潜在蒸散量(ET_0)和降水量在波动中呈降低趋势,倾向率为分别- 8.64 mm· 10 a~(- 1)和- 10.04 mm·10 a~(- 1),AI指数则在波动中略呈增加趋势,倾向率为0.01 10 a~(- 1),表明宁夏气候有变干的趋势;从年内分布看,ET_0和降水量呈单峰型分布,峰值分别为8月的118.12 mm和7月的66.82 mm,而AI指数呈谷状分布,以8月最小,为0.42; AI指数空间差异明显,呈自南向北递增趋势,表明气候自南向北依次变干;宁夏ET_0、降水量和AI指数均在1970年末期、1980年早期和1980年中期发生突变,均存在21 a中尺度的优势周期,并与太阳黑子活动22 a的海尔(磁)准周期基本一致,短周期为3、5、7 a,可能受大气环流和厄尔尼诺等影响。
英文摘要: Based on the climate data of daily temperature,precipitation,wind speed,sunshine hours as well as relative humidity at nine meteorological stations in Ningxia during 1961 - 2012, evapotranspiration(ET_0) was estimated by the Penman-Monteith model. Additionally,inverse distance weighting was applied to investigate the temporal-spatial variations of ET_0,precipitation and aridity index. The abrupt change and the period in ET_0,precipitation and aridity index were characterized using a time series analysis conducted with moving t-test and Morlet wavelet. The results showed that in recent 52 years,the ET_0 and precipitation presented a decreasing trend on the whole with rates of - 8.64 mm·10 a~(- 1) and - 10.04 mm·10 a~(- 1),respectively; aridity index displayed a slightly increasing trend(0.01 10 a~(- 1)),suggesting a drier climate trend in Ningxia. Moreover,both the ET_0 and precipitation exhibited a unimodal type of distribution with peaks appearing in August(66.82 mm) and July(118.12 mm),respectively,and aridity index showed a valley-like type with minimum(0.42) in August. For spatial distribution of the aridity index,it presented an increasing trend from south to north,suggesting that climate got drier from south to north. Abrupt changes of ET_0,precipitation and aridity index primarily happened in the late 1970s,early and mid-term 1980s,and the large time scales of these abrupt changes were same(21 a) and in agreement with the period(22 a) of sunspot activity. Besides,their fluctuations in the short periods of 3,5 and 7 years were correlated to atmospheric circumfluence and El Nino events to some extent.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/156852
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 西北师范大学地理与环境科学学院, 兰州, 甘肃 730070, 中国

Recommended Citation:
张彦龙,刘普幸,王允. 基于干旱指数的宁夏干旱时空变化特征及其Morlet小波分析[J]. 生态学杂志,2015-01-01,34(8):2373-2380
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