globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6005449
论文题名:
1951 -2015年河南省温度变化研究
其他题名: Annual temperature variations in Henan during the period of 1951 - 2015
作者: 闫军辉; 张向敏; 周红升; 王义民; 景世聪
刊名: 干旱区资源与环境
ISSN: 1003-7578
出版年: 2017
卷: 31, 期:7, 页码:102-107
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 变化特征 ; 年平均气温 ; 气候变化 ; 河南省
英文关键词: temperature variation ; annual mean temperature ; climate change ; Henan
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 利用河南省分布相对均匀的17个气象站建站以来的月平均气温资料,采用回归订正的方法建立了1951 - 2015年河南省年平均气温距平序列。在此基础上,采用统计学、功率谱分析和Mann - Kendall检验等方法,分析了过去65年河南省年均温变化的幅度、速率、周期和突变特征及其与全球和中国温度变化的关系。结果表明:(1) 1951 - 2015年河南省年均温以0.18 0.06℃ /10a(95%置信区间)的速率呈显著增暖趋势,年际变化幅度多年平均值为0.46 0.07℃(95%置信区间);(2)年代上,50和80年代河南省气候相对较低,60、70年代围绕均值波动,90年代开始急剧上升;过去65年河南省年均温存在2.3年和3.8年周期,并于1994年发生了突变;(3)尽管河南省温度变化与全球、北半球和中国尺度变化显著相关,冷暖阶段基本一致,变化速率、周期和突变时间基本相同,但河南省温度变化年际变幅和波动幅较其他三个尺度明显偏大。
英文摘要: In this study,by using monthly mean temperatures derived from 17 uniformly distributed meteorological stations since foundation,the regional mean temperature anomalies were reconstructed after filling gaps on basis of linear regression method. Furthermore,the temperature variations,warming rates,periodicity,as well as time of abrupt change were as well analyzed by using statistical,power spectrum analysis,and Mann - Kendall testing methods. The relationship between temperature series of global,hemispheric,China and Henan were also studied. The results showed that:(1) The regional mean temperatures presented a significantly warming trend during the period 1951 - 2015. The linear trend for this period amounted to 0.18 0.06℃ per decade. The average amplitude of inter - annual variability were 0.46 0.07℃. All confidence ranges mentioned above were calculated at the 95% confidence level and were statistically significant.(2) On decadal time scale,the climate were relatively colder during the 1950s and 1980s. From 1960s onwards,regional temperature anomalies fluctuated remarkably around 0℃ till the end of the 1970s. However,annual temperatures increased dramatically since the 1990s. Significant periodicity of 2.3a and 3.8a were detected over the past 65 years,with abrupt temperature change occurred in 1994.(3) Comparisons of temperature changes of Henan with global,hemispheric and entire China indicated similar cold /warm periods. The warming rate,periodicity,as well as time points of abrupt change were consistent between different spatial scales,but the amplitude of fluctuations and inter - annual variations were larger in Henan regional temperature compared with the other three series.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/157261
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 信阳师范学院地理科学学院, 信阳, 河南 464000, 中国

Recommended Citation:
闫军辉,张向敏,周红升,等. 1951 -2015年河南省温度变化研究[J]. 干旱区资源与环境,2017-01-01,31(7):102-107
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