globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
CSCD记录号: CSCD:6378303
论文题名:
中国灾害性对流天气日数的时空变化特征
其他题名: Temporal and Spatial Variation Characteristics of Day Number of Disastrous Convective Weather in China
作者: 孔锋1; 杨萍2; 王品3; 吕丽莉4; 孙劭5
刊名: 长江流域资源与环境
ISSN: 1004-8227
出版年: 2018
卷: 27, 期:11, 页码:2518-2528
语种: 中文
中文关键词: 灾害性天气 ; 冰雹-大风-雷暴-闪电 ; 时空格局 ; 周期振荡特征 ; 突变检验
英文关键词: disaster weather ; hail-gale-thunderstorm-lightning ; spatiotemporal pattern ; characteristic of periodic oscillation ; mutation test
WOS学科分类: METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
中文摘要: 采用1961 ~ 2016年中国2 481站的冰雹、大风、雷暴和闪电日数数据,利用多种数理统计方法,分析了中国4种灾害性对流天气日数时空分布特征、周期变化规律和气候突变特征。结果表明: ( 1)在时间上,中国4种灾害性对流天气日数呈减少趋势,且冰雹和雷暴日数具有先增-后减的分段变化特征。中国冰雹、大风、雷暴和闪电日数分别具有3 ~ 5 a、2 ~ 3 a、1 ~ 2 a和1 ~ 4 a左右的振荡周期,且冰雹和雷暴日数分别于2002和1992年发生突变。( 2)在空间上,青藏高原-四川西部地区是冰雹、大风和雷暴日数的高值分布区。同时长江以南地区也是雷暴日数的高值分布区。华南及其同纬度的西南地区是闪电日数的高值分布区。( 3)在趋势上,中国冰雹日数主要在青藏高原地区呈减少趋势。大风日数变化趋势呈东部减少-中部不变-西部增减镶嵌的空间格局。雷暴日数在西藏、华北、重庆、浙江和黑龙江西北部呈增加趋势。中国闪电日数变化趋势在长江以南地区减少明显。( 4)在波动上,中国冰雹日数在东南地区波动较大,大风日数在胡焕庸线以东波动较大。中国雷暴日数波动特征呈西北高-东南低的空间格局,闪电日数除在新疆北部和华南地区波动动较小外,其它地区波动相对较大。
英文摘要: Based on the data of hail,gale,thunderstorm and lightning of 2481 weather stations in China from 1961 to 2016, the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics, periodicity and climate abruption characteristics of four kinds of severe convective weather in China were analyzed by various mathematical statistics methods. The results show that: In time,the days of four kinds of severe convective weather in China are decreasing,and hail and thunderstorm days are characterized by " first increasing and then decreasing". Hail, gale,thunderstorm and lightning days respectively present oscillation cycles of 3-5 years,2-3 years,1-2 years and 1-4 years in China,and the hail and thunderstorm days mutated in 2002 and 1992. In space,the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and western Sichuan are the high value distribution areas of the number of hail,gale and thunderstorm days. The South of the Yangtze River are also the high value distribution areas of the number of thunderstorms. Southern China and the southwest region with the same latitude are the high value distribution areas of the number of lightning days. In terms of the trend,the number of hail days is decreasing mainly in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. The trend of gale days is in the spatial pattern of a decrease in the east region, invariability in the central region,and an increase alternating with a decrease in the west region. The number of thunderstorms is increasing in Tibet,north China,Chongqing,Zhejiang and the northwest of Heilongjiang and that of lightning days is decreasing in the south of the Yangtze River. In terms of the fluctuation,hail days fluctuates markedly in the southeast and gale days fluctuates wildly in the east of Hu Huanyong line. The fluctuation characteristics of thunderstorms days are large in the northwest and small in the southeast. In addition to the small fluctuation in the Northern Xinjiang and Southern China,lightning days fluctuates widely in other regions in China.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/157646
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.清华大学公共管理学院应急管理研究基地
2.中国气象局气象干部培训学院
3.中亚大气科学研究中心,
4.,
5.乌鲁木齐, 北京
6.北京
7.新疆 100084
8.100081
9.830002, 中国
10.中国气象局气象干部培训学院, 北京 100081, 中国
11.杭州师范大学理学院, 杭州, 浙江 311121, 中国
12.中国气象局气象干部培训学院
13.中亚大气科学研究中心,
14.,
15.乌鲁木齐, 北京
16.新疆 100081
17.830002, 中国
18.中国气象局国家气候中心, 北京 100081, 中国

Recommended Citation:
孔锋,杨萍,王品,等. 中国灾害性对流天气日数的时空变化特征[J]. 长江流域资源与环境,2018-01-01,27(11):2518-2528
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