DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2020.01.126
论文题名: Climate change impacts on potential solar energy production: A study case in Fukushima, Japan
作者: Oka K. ; Mizutani W. ; Ashina S.
刊名: Renewable Energy
ISSN: 9601481
出版年: 2020
卷: 153 语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change
; Climate scenario
; Impact assessment
; Photovoltaic energy
; Renewable energy
Scopus关键词: Climate models
; Energy policy
; Solar energy
; Uncertainty analysis
; Climate change impact
; Climate change scenarios
; Climate scenarios
; Global climate model
; Impact assessments
; Meteorological condition
; Photovoltaic energy
; Renewable energies
; Climate change
; alternative energy
; climate change
; climate conditions
; climate effect
; climate modeling
; estimation method
; photovoltaic system
; power generation
; solar power
; spatial resolution
; uncertainty analysis
; Fukushima [Fukushima (PRF)]
; Fukushima [Tohoku]
; Honshu
; Japan
; Tohoku
英文摘要: To construct a long-term energy plan for renewable energies such as photovoltaics (PV), the influence of meteorological conditions on energy yield must be considered. It is necessary to understand how climate change impacts energy generation. For that purpose, a method to estimate PV energy generation considering climate change scenarios was developed. The developed method can estimate hourly generation amounts with spatial resolutions of 1-km mesh. It was applied to Fukushima Prefecture, located in the northeast region of Japan. To establish future scenarios three Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) and seven Global Climate Models (GCM) were analyzed, and uncertainties caused by differences in future scenarios were investigated. The results show that annual generation of PV energy was estimated to increase on average by 1.7% in 2030, 3.9% in 2050, and 4.9% in 2070 due to climate change. Energy plans and adaptation actions are expected to be performed so the country is prepared for future impacts. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/158107
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: National Institute for Environmental Studies, Center for Climate Change Adaptation, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-8506, Japan; Environment and Energy Division 1, Mizuho Information and Research Institute, Inc., 2-3 Kanda-Nishikicho, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, 101-8443, Japan; Center for Social and Environmental Systems Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-8506, Japan
Recommended Citation:
Oka K.,Mizutani W.,Ashina S.. Climate change impacts on potential solar energy production: A study case in Fukushima, Japan[J]. Renewable Energy,2020-01-01,153