globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2020.104563
论文题名:
Compact Urban Form and Expansion Pattern Slow Down the Decline in Urban Densities: A Global Perspective
作者: Xu G.; Zhou Z.; Jiao L.; Zhao R.
刊名: Land Use Policy
ISSN: 2648377
出版年: 2020
卷: 94
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Compact growth ; Expansion pattern ; Population density ; Urban density ; Urban form
Scopus关键词: correlation ; fragmentation ; growth rate ; land use planning ; population decline ; population density ; regression analysis ; urban development ; urban population ; urbanization
英文摘要: The faster growth rate of urban land than population results in the persistent decline in urban densities over time, increasing the cost of land in urbanization. We attempt to quantify influences of urban form and expansion pattern on the decline in densities in 200 global cities. We use openness and proximity to represent the fragmentation and compactness of built-up areas and collect proportions of expansion in three patterns (infill, extension, and leapfrog expansion). We first use correlation analysis to identify significant explanatory variables and then build regression models with the annual change rate of densities as the dependent variable. During two periods (1990–2000 and 2000–2014), urban form and expansion pattern can explain 1/3 variance of density changes. A one standard deviation increase in openness accelerates the decline in densities by 44 %–52 %. A one standard deviation increase in the proportion of infill expansion slows down its decline by 38 %–40 %, but extension expansion accelerates its decline by 20 %–27 %. We further build regression models in five world sub-regions and four groups of different-sized cities, and results verify the stable and robust influences of urban form and expansion pattern. We conclude that compact urban form and expansion pattern can slow down the decline in density. Land-use policies supporting compact growth are encouraged to slow down the decline in urban densities, particularly in fast urbanizing populous regions. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/158274
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: School of Remote Sensing and Information Engineering, Wuhan University, 129 Luoyu Road, Wuhan, 430079, China; Key Laboratory of Urban Land Resources Monitoring and Simulation, Ministry of Natural Resources, 8007 West Hongli Road, Shenzhen, China; School of Resource and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan University, 129 Luoyu Road, Wuhan, 430079, China

Recommended Citation:
Xu G.,Zhou Z.,Jiao L.,et al. Compact Urban Form and Expansion Pattern Slow Down the Decline in Urban Densities: A Global Perspective[J]. Land Use Policy,2020-01-01,94
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