DOI: 10.3390/su12041513
论文题名: National-scale built-environment exposure to 100-year extreme sea levels and sea-level rise
作者: Paulik R. ; Stephens S.A. ; Bell R.G. ; Wadhwa S. ; Popovich B.
刊名: Sustainability (Switzerland)
ISSN: 20711050
出版年: 2020
卷: 12, 期: 4 语种: 英语
英文关键词: infrastructure
; Buildings
; Built-environment
; Exposure
; Extreme sea-levels
; Flooding
; RiskScape
; Sea-level rise
英文摘要: Coastal flooding from extreme sea levels will increase in frequency and magnitude as global climate change forces sea-level rise (SLR). Extreme sea-level events, rare in the recent past (i.e., once per century), are projected to occur at least once per year by 2050 along many of the world's coastlines. Information showing where and how built-environment exposure increases with SLR, enables timely adaptation before damaging thresholds are reached. This study presents a first national-scale assessment of New Zealand's built-environment exposure to future coastal flooding. We use an analytical risk model framework, "RiskScape", to enumerate land, buildings and infrastructure exposed to a present and future 100-year extreme sea-level flood event (ESL100). We used high-resolution topographic data to assess incremental exposure to 0.1 m SLR increases. This approach detects variable rates in the potential magnitude and timing of future flood exposure in response to SLR over decadal scales. National built-land and asset exposure to ESL100 flooding doubles with less than 1 m SLR, indicating low-lying areas are likely to experience rapid exposure increases from modest increases in SLR expected within the next few decades. This highlights an urgent need for national and regional actions to anticipate and adaptively plan to reduce future socio-economic impacts arising from flood exposure to extreme sea-levels and SLR. © 2020 by the authors. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/159847
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), 301 Evans Bay, Greta Point, Wellington, 6021, New Zealand; National Institute ofWater and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Gate 10, Silverdale Road, Hillcrest, Hamilton, 3216, New Zealand
Recommended Citation:
Paulik R.,Stephens S.A.,Bell R.G.,et al. National-scale built-environment exposure to 100-year extreme sea levels and sea-level rise[J]. Sustainability (Switzerland),2020-01-01,12(4)