DOI: 10.5194/hess-24-4903-2020
论文题名: Unraveling intractable water conflicts: The entanglement of science and politics in decision-making on large hydraulic infrastructure
作者: Godinez-Madrigal J. ; Van Cauwenbergh N. ; Van Der Zaag P.
刊名: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
ISSN: 1027-5606
出版年: 2020
卷: 24, 期: 10 起始页码: 4903
结束页码: 4921
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Decision making
; Demand side management
; Electric utilities
; Water resources
; Water supply
; Epistemic uncertainties
; Optimal solutions
; Participant observations
; Quantitative models
; Social conflicts
; Urban water securities
; Urban water supply
; Water transfer projects
; Uncertainty analysis
; dam
; decision making
; epistasis
; numerical model
; parameterization
; questionnaire survey
; stakeholder
; uncertainty analysis
; water resource
; water supply
; Castilla-La Mancha
; Guadalajara [Castilla-La Mancha]
; Leon [Nicaragua]
; Nicaragua
; Spain
英文摘要: The development of large infrastructure to address the water challenges of cities around the world can be a financial and social burden for many cities because of the hidden costs these works entail and social conflicts they often trigger. When conflicts erupt, science is often expected to play a key role in informing policymakers and social actors to clarify controversies surrounding policy responses to water scarcity. However, managing conflicts is a sociopolitical process, and often quantitative models are used as an attempt to depoliticize such processes, conveying the idea that optimal solutions can be objectively identified despite the many perspectives and interests at play. This raises the question as to whether science depoliticizes water conflicts or whether instead conflicts politicize science-policy processes. We use the Zapotillo dam and water transfer project in Mexico to analyze the role of science-policy processes in water conflicts. The Zapotillo project aims at augmenting urban water supply to Guadalajara and León, two large cities in western Mexico, but a social and legal conflict has stalled the project until today. To analyze the conflict and how stakeholders make sense of it, we interviewed the most relevant actors and studied the negotiations between different interest groups through participant observation. To examine the role of science-policy processes in the conflict, we mobilized concepts of epistemic uncertainty and ambiguity and analyzed the design and use of water resources models produced by key actors aiming to resolve the conflict. While the use of models is a proven method to construct future scenarios and test different strategies, the parameterization of scenarios and their results are influenced by the knowledge and/or interests of actors behind the model. We found that in the Zapotillo case, scenarios reflected the interests and strategies of actors on one side of the conflict, resulting in increased distrust of the opposing actors. We conclude that the dilemma of achieving urban water security through investing in either large infrastructure (supply augmentation) or alternative strategies (demand-side management) cannot be resolved if some key interested parties have not been involved in the scientific processes framing the problem and solution space. © 2020 Royal Society of Chemistry. All rights reserved. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/162573
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Godinez-Madrigal, J., Department of Land and Water Management, IHE Delft, Delft, Netherlands, Water Management Department, TU Delft, Delft, Netherlands; Van Cauwenbergh, N., Department of Land and Water Management, IHE Delft, Delft, Netherlands; Van Der Zaag, P., Department of Land and Water Management, IHE Delft, Delft, Netherlands, Water Management Department, TU Delft, Delft, Netherlands
Recommended Citation:
Godinez-Madrigal J.,Van Cauwenbergh N.,Van Der Zaag P.. Unraveling intractable water conflicts: The entanglement of science and politics in decision-making on large hydraulic infrastructure[J]. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,2020-01-01,24(10)