globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.5194/hess-24-1611-2020
论文题名:
Influence of multidecadal variability on high and low flows: The case of the Seine basin
作者: Bonnet R.; Boé J.; Habets F.
刊名: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
ISSN: 1027-5606
出版年: 2020
卷: 24, 期:4
起始页码: 1611
结束页码: 1631
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Drought ; Flow of water ; Groundwater ; Oceanography ; Soil moisture ; Atmospheric circulation ; Atmospheric reanalysis ; Ground water recharge ; Hydrological variability ; Multidecadal variability ; Multidecadal variations ; Sea surface temperature anomalies ; Spatial and temporal resolutions ; Rivers ; atmospheric circulation ; drought ; groundwater-surface water interaction ; hydrological change ; hydrological modeling ; hydrometeorology ; precipitation (climatology) ; recharge ; river flow ; sea surface temperature ; temperature anomaly ; Atlantic Ocean ; Atlantic Ocean (North) ; France ; Pacific Ocean ; Pacific Ocean (North) ; Seine Basin
英文摘要:

The multidecadal hydroclimate variations of the Seine basin since the 1850s are investigated. Given the scarcity of long-term hydrological observations, a hydrometeorological reconstruction is developed based on hydrological modeling and a method that combines the results of a downscaled long-term atmospheric reanalysis and local observations of precipitation and temperature. This method improves previous attempts and provides a realistic representation of daily and monthly river flows. This new hydrometeorological reconstruction, available over more than 150 years while maintaining fine spatial and temporal resolutions, provides a tool to improve our understanding of the multidecadal hydrological variability in the Seine basin, as well as its influence on high and low flows. This long-term reconstruction allows analysis of the strong multidecadal variations of the Seine river flows. The main hydrological mechanisms at the origin of these variations are highlighted. Spring precipitation plays a central role by directly influencing not only the multidecadal variability in spring flows but also soil moisture and groundwater recharge, which then regulate summer river flows. These multidecadal hydroclimate variations in the Seine basin are driven by anomalies in large-scale atmospheric circulation, which themselves appear to be influenced by sea surface temperature anomalies over the North Atlantic and the North Pacific. The multidecadal hydroclimate variations also influence high and low flows over the last 150 years. The analysis of two particularly severe historical droughts, the 1921 and the 1949 events, illustrates how long-term hydroclimate variations may impact short-term drought events, particularly through groundwater-river exchanges. The multidecadal hydroclimate variations described in this study, probably of internal origin, could play an important role in the evolution of water resources in the Seine basin in the coming decades. It is therefore essential to take the associated uncertainties into account in future projections.

. © 2020 Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.. All rights reserved.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/162742
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Bonnet, R., CECI, Université de Toulouse, CNRS, Cerfacs, Toulouse, France; Boé, J., CECI, Université de Toulouse, CNRS, Cerfacs, Toulouse, France; Habets, F., UMR 8538, Laboratoire de Géologie de l'Ecole Normale Supérieure, CNRS, PSL, Paris, France, UMR 7619 METIS, Sorbonne Université-Faculté des Sciences, CNRS, Paris, France

Recommended Citation:
Bonnet R.,Boé J.,Habets F.. Influence of multidecadal variability on high and low flows: The case of the Seine basin[J]. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,2020-01-01,24(4)
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