globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.5194/hess-23-2877-2019
论文题名:
Bayesian performance evaluation of evapotranspiration models based on eddy covariance systems in an arid region
作者: Wei G.; Zhang X.; Ye M.; Yue N.; Kan F.
刊名: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
ISSN: 1027-5606
出版年: 2019
卷: 23, 期:7
起始页码: 2877
结束页码: 2895
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Bayesian networks ; Ecosystems ; Evapotranspiration ; Advection-aridity models ; Agricultural ecosystems ; Bayesian performance ; Eddy covariance systems ; Evapotranspiration models ; Extinction coefficients ; Land-surface process ; Thermodynamic integration ; Arid regions ; algorithm ; arid region ; Bayesian analysis ; eddy covariance ; energy balance ; energy flux ; environmental modeling ; evapotranspiration ; extinction coefficient ; hydrological cycle ; land surface ; performance assessment ; Zea mays
英文摘要: Evapotranspiration (ET) is a major component of the land surface process involved in energy fluxes and energy balance, especially in the hydrological cycle of agricultural ecosystems. While many models have been developed as powerful tools to simulate ET, there is no agreement on which model best describes the loss of water to the atmosphere. This study focuses on two aspects, evaluating the performance of four widely used ET models and identifying parameters, and the physical mechanisms that have significant impacts on the model performance. The four tested models are the Shuttleworth-Wallace (SW) model, Penman-Monteith (PM) model, Priestley-Taylor and Flint-Childs (PT-FC) model, and advection-aridity (AA) model. By incorporating the mathematically rigorous thermodynamic integration algorithm, the Bayesian model evidence (BME) approach is adopted to select the optimal model with half-hourly ET observations obtained at a spring maize field in an arid region. Our results reveal that the SW model has the best performance, and the extinction coefficient is not merely partitioning the total available energy into the canopy and surface but also including the energy imbalance correction. The extinction coefficient is well constrained in the SW model and poorly constrained in the PM model but not considered in PT-FC and AA models. This is one of the main reasons that the SW model outperforms the other models. Meanwhile, the good fitting of SW model to observations can counterbalance its higher complexity. In addition, the detailed analysis of the discrepancies between observations and model simulations during the crop growth season indicate that explicit treatment of energy imbalance and energy interaction will be the primary way of further improving ET model performance. © 2019 Copernicus GmbH. All rights reserved.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/162940
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Wei, G., Key Laboratory of Western China's Environmental System (Ministry of Education), Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China; Zhang, X., College of Construction Engineering, Jilin University, Changchun, 130400, China; Ye, M., Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32306, United States; Yue, N., Key Laboratory of Western China's Environmental System (Ministry of Education), Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China; Kan, F., Key Laboratory of Western China's Environmental System (Ministry of Education), Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China

Recommended Citation:
Wei G.,Zhang X.,Ye M.,et al. Bayesian performance evaluation of evapotranspiration models based on eddy covariance systems in an arid region[J]. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,2019-01-01,23(7)
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