globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.5194/hess-22-3295-2018
论文题名:
On the appropriate definition of soil profile configuration and initial conditions for land surface-hydrology models in cold regions
作者: Sapriza-Azuri G.; Gamazo P.; Razavi S.; Wheater H.S.
刊名: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
ISSN: 1027-5606
出版年: 2018
卷: 22, 期:6
起始页码: 3295
结束页码: 3309
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Earth (planet) ; Global warming ; Hydrology ; Permafrost ; Soil surveys ; Surface measurement ; Temperature control ; Uncertainty analysis ; Climate reconstruction ; General circulation model ; Global warming and climate changes ; Initialization procedures ; Land surface hydrology ; Lower boundary conditions ; Process representation ; Regional climate models ; Climate models ; boundary condition ; climate change ; climate conditions ; climate modeling ; general circulation model ; global warming ; hydrological modeling ; paleoclimate ; permafrost ; reconstruction ; regional climate ; soil column ; soil profile ; soil temperature ; subarctic region ; temperature profile ; Canada ; Norman Wells ; Northwest Territories
英文摘要:

Arctic and subarctic regions are amongst the most susceptible regions on Earth to global warming and climate change. Understanding and predicting the impact of climate change in these regions require a proper process representation of the interactions between climate, carbon cycle, and hydrology in Earth system models. This study focuses on land surface models (LSMs) that represent the lower boundary condition of general circulation models (GCMs) and regional climate models (RCMs), which simulate climate change evolution at the global and regional scales, respectively. LSMs typically utilize a standard soil configuration with a depth of no more than 4ĝ€m, whereas for cold, permafrost regions, field experiments show that attention to deep soil profiles is needed to understand and close the water and energy balances, which are tightly coupled through the phase change. To address this gap, we design and run a series of model experiments with a one-dimensional LSM, called CLASS (Canadian Land Surface Scheme), as embedded in the MESH (Modélisation Environmentale Communautaire - Surface and Hydrology) modelling system, to (1) characterize the effect of soil profile depth under different climate conditions and in the presence of parameter uncertainty; (2) assess the effect of including or excluding the geothermal flux in the LSM at the bottom of the soil column; and (3) develop a methodology for temperature profile initialization in permafrost regions, where the system has an extended memory, by the use of paleo-records and bootstrapping. Our study area is in Norman Wells, Northwest Territories of Canada, where measurements of soil temperature profiles and historical reconstructed climate data are available. Our results demonstrate a dominant role for parameter uncertainty, that is often neglected in LSMs. Considering such high sensitivity to parameter values and dependency on the climate condition, we show that a minimum depth of 20ĝ€m is essential to adequately represent the temperature dynamics. We further show that our proposed initialization procedure is effective and robust to uncertainty in paleo-climate reconstructions and that more than 300 years of reconstructed climate time series are needed for proper model initialization. © Author(s) 2018.

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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/163285
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Sapriza-Azuri, G., Departamento Del Agua, Centro Universitario Regional Litoral Norte, Universidad de la República, Salto, Uruguay; Gamazo, P., Departamento Del Agua, Centro Universitario Regional Litoral Norte, Universidad de la República, Salto, Uruguay; Razavi, S., Global Institute for Water Security, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada, School of Environment and Sustainability, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada, Department of Civil and Geological Engineering, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada; Wheater, H.S., Global Institute for Water Security, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada, School of Environment and Sustainability, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada, Department of Civil and Geological Engineering, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada

Recommended Citation:
Sapriza-Azuri G.,Gamazo P.,Razavi S.,et al. On the appropriate definition of soil profile configuration and initial conditions for land surface-hydrology models in cold regions[J]. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,2018-01-01,22(6)
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